Skip to main content
icon for Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 72%

Jeff Leiper 21%

Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%

Alex Lawson <1%

Polymarket

$12,577 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe 72%

Jeff Leiper 21%

Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.9%

Alex Lawson <1%

Polymarket

$12,577 Vol.

icon for Mark Sutcliffe

Mark Sutcliffe

$6,291 Vol.

72%

icon for Jeff Leiper

Jeff Leiper

$1,957 Vol.

21%

icon for Neil Saravanamuttoo

Neil Saravanamuttoo

$1,189 Vol.

2%

icon for Alex Lawson

Alex Lawson

$1,351 Vol.

1%

icon for Catherine McKenney

Catherine McKenney

$1,789 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Volume
$12,577
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands 71.5% trader consensus for re-election on October 26, reflecting strong incumbency advantage and a fragmented opposition field that splits challenger votes in Ottawa's first-past-the-post mayoral contest. Nominations opened May 1 with three candidates filing immediately—Councillor Jeff Leiper at 21.5%, activist Alex Lawson at 1.8%, and economist Neil Saravanamuttoo at 1.9%—prompting early campaign launches while Sutcliffe delays official entry, citing the "real campaign" months away. A mid-April Liaison Strategies poll (n=1,000) revealed majority disapproval of his handling of housing, transit, and homelessness, with vote intentions among decided voters showing Sutcliffe at 46% over Leiper's 37% amid 48% undecided, yet markets price in his name recognition and low challenger consolidation ahead of potential additional entrants like Councillor Tim Tierney.

The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Volume
$12,577
End Date
Oct 26, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

53%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

31%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Sutcliffe" at 72%, followed by "Jeff Leiper" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $12.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" is "Mark Sutcliffe" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Leiper" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.