Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow maintains a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, with recent polling showing her at roughly 50 percent support among decided voters compared to Councillor Brad Bradford at 37 percent. Bradford formally registered his candidacy on May 1 when nominations opened, establishing himself as the clearest challenger after his 2023 byelection bid, yet no other contender has mounted comparable visibility or fundraising. Chow has not formally declared re-election but has signaled continued focus on city priorities, leaving traders to price her re-election prospects at over three-quarters. Lower-probability options such as Ana Bailão and several minor candidates register negligible support in early surveys, reflecting limited name recognition and organization at this stage of the campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOlivia Chow 79%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.1%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,185 KL.
$30,185 KL.
Olivia Chow
79%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
John Tory
<1%
Olivia Chow 79%
Brad Bradford 20%
Ana Bailão 2.1%
Kevin Clarke <1%
$30,185 KL.
$30,185 KL.
Olivia Chow
79%
Brad Bradford
20%
Ana Bailão
2%
Kevin Clarke
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
John Tory
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Thị trường mở: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow maintains a commanding position in the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral race, with recent polling showing her at roughly 50 percent support among decided voters compared to Councillor Brad Bradford at 37 percent. Bradford formally registered his candidacy on May 1 when nominations opened, establishing himself as the clearest challenger after his 2023 byelection bid, yet no other contender has mounted comparable visibility or fundraising. Chow has not formally declared re-election but has signaled continued focus on city priorities, leaving traders to price her re-election prospects at over three-quarters. Lower-probability options such as Ana Bailão and several minor candidates register negligible support in early surveys, reflecting limited name recognition and organization at this stage of the campaign.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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