Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the centre-left bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a modest lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals supported by Sweden Democrats). The gap has narrowed slightly from earlier summer readings, with the Liberals polling near or below the 4% threshold. Key variables for post-election government formation include whether the Red-Green parties secure a majority on their own, the Centre Party’s willingness to negotiate with either side, and seat totals that determine viable coalitions or minority arrangements. High undecided voter shares and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts in bloc positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
Jan 31, 2027
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
91%
Christian Democrats (KD)
66%
Green Party (MP)
54%
Left Party (V)
44%
Centre Party (C)
45%
Moderate Party (M)
22%
Liberals (L)
14%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
8%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
4%
$4,969 KL.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$2,035 KL.
91%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$628 KL.
66%
Green Party (MP)
$200 KL.
54%
Left Party (V)
$191 KL.
44%
Centre Party (C)
$390 KL.
45%
Moderate Party (M)
$43 KL.
22%
Liberals (L)
$648 KL.
14%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$807 KL.
8%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$26 KL.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the centre-left bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a modest lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals supported by Sweden Democrats). The gap has narrowed slightly from earlier summer readings, with the Liberals polling near or below the 4% threshold. Key variables for post-election government formation include whether the Red-Green parties secure a majority on their own, the Centre Party’s willingness to negotiate with either side, and seat totals that determine viable coalitions or minority arrangements. High undecided voter shares and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts in bloc positioning.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,969Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the centre-left bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a modest lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals supported by Sweden Democrats). The gap has narrowed slightly from earlier summer readings, with the Liberals polling near or below the 4% threshold. Key variables for post-election government formation include whether the Red-Green parties secure a majority on their own, the Centre Party’s willingness to negotiate with either side, and seat totals that determine viable coalitions or minority arrangements. High undecided voter shares and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts in bloc positioning.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Khối lượng
$4,969Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026, Riksdag election show the centre-left bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats, holding a modest lead over the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties (Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals supported by Sweden Democrats). The gap has narrowed slightly from earlier summer readings, with the Liberals polling near or below the 4% threshold. Key variables for post-election government formation include whether the Red-Green parties secure a majority on their own, the Centre Party’s willingness to negotiate with either side, and seat totals that determine viable coalitions or minority arrangements. High undecided voter shares and the short campaign window leave room for late shifts in bloc positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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