Donald Trump’s second term, which began in January 2025 and runs until January 2029, faces structural barriers that sustain the 97.5% trader consensus against his departure before 2027. Democrats gained control of both chambers in the November 2026 midterms, enabling House impeachment proceedings after January 2027, yet Senate conviction still requires a two-thirds vote that current seat projections make improbable. Public statements from Trump reject resignation, while no verified health developments or bipartisan momentum for removal have emerged. Realistic shifts could stem from a sudden incapacity triggering the 25th Amendment, a late-breaking scandal attracting enough Republican Senate support, or unexpected voluntary exit amid lame-duck pressures, though these remain low-probability events based on present evidence.