President Trump entered his second term in January 2025 after winning the 2024 election. As of May 2026, neither chamber of Congress has advanced articles of impeachment, and no credible 25th Amendment succession process has been initiated. Senate and House leadership have shown no appetite for removal proceedings, while the administration has focused on executive actions and legislative priorities without triggering widespread bipartisan opposition. Historical precedent shows successful presidential removals require sustained political consensus that remains absent here. Traders therefore assign high probability to Trump completing at least the first two years of the term, consistent with stable institutional conditions and the lack of acute crises capable of shifting that outlook before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$8,476,782 KL.
$8,476,782 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
$8,476,782 KL.
$8,476,782 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump entered his second term in January 2025 after winning the 2024 election. As of May 2026, neither chamber of Congress has advanced articles of impeachment, and no credible 25th Amendment succession process has been initiated. Senate and House leadership have shown no appetite for removal proceedings, while the administration has focused on executive actions and legislative priorities without triggering widespread bipartisan opposition. Historical precedent shows successful presidential removals require sustained political consensus that remains absent here. Traders therefore assign high probability to Trump completing at least the first two years of the term, consistent with stable institutional conditions and the lack of acute crises capable of shifting that outlook before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,476,782Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump entered his second term in January 2025 after winning the 2024 election. As of May 2026, neither chamber of Congress has advanced articles of impeachment, and no credible 25th Amendment succession process has been initiated. Senate and House leadership have shown no appetite for removal proceedings, while the administration has focused on executive actions and legislative priorities without triggering widespread bipartisan opposition. Historical precedent shows successful presidential removals require sustained political consensus that remains absent here. Traders therefore assign high probability to Trump completing at least the first two years of the term, consistent with stable institutional conditions and the lack of acute crises capable of shifting that outlook before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$8,476,782Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump entered his second term in January 2025 after winning the 2024 election. As of May 2026, neither chamber of Congress has advanced articles of impeachment, and no credible 25th Amendment succession process has been initiated. Senate and House leadership have shown no appetite for removal proceedings, while the administration has focused on executive actions and legislative priorities without triggering widespread bipartisan opposition. Historical precedent shows successful presidential removals require sustained political consensus that remains absent here. Traders therefore assign high probability to Trump completing at least the first two years of the term, consistent with stable institutional conditions and the lack of acute crises capable of shifting that outlook before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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