Republican majorities in Congress and the absence of active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals create high barriers to early removal. Recent developments, including April 2026 calls for action tied to Iran-related statements and scattered fitness concerns, generated media attention but produced no legislative votes or cabinet steps that advanced beyond introduction. Traders price in historical precedent that presidents rarely exit before term end absent overwhelming bipartisan consensus or incapacity events, with the 2026 midterms more likely to shift House control than trigger immediate ouster. Sudden health developments or major scandals could still alter trajectories before December 2026, yet primary-source indicators show no such momentum at present.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
6% khả năng
$10,751,344 KL.
$10,751,344 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
6% khả năng
$10,751,344 KL.
$10,751,344 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress and the absence of active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals create high barriers to early removal. Recent developments, including April 2026 calls for action tied to Iran-related statements and scattered fitness concerns, generated media attention but produced no legislative votes or cabinet steps that advanced beyond introduction. Traders price in historical precedent that presidents rarely exit before term end absent overwhelming bipartisan consensus or incapacity events, with the 2026 midterms more likely to shift House control than trigger immediate ouster. Sudden health developments or major scandals could still alter trajectories before December 2026, yet primary-source indicators show no such momentum at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,751,344Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in Congress and the absence of active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals create high barriers to early removal. Recent developments, including April 2026 calls for action tied to Iran-related statements and scattered fitness concerns, generated media attention but produced no legislative votes or cabinet steps that advanced beyond introduction. Traders price in historical precedent that presidents rarely exit before term end absent overwhelming bipartisan consensus or incapacity events, with the 2026 midterms more likely to shift House control than trigger immediate ouster. Sudden health developments or major scandals could still alter trajectories before December 2026, yet primary-source indicators show no such momentum at present.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$10,751,344Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in Congress and the absence of active impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocations, or resignation signals create high barriers to early removal. Recent developments, including April 2026 calls for action tied to Iran-related statements and scattered fitness concerns, generated media attention but produced no legislative votes or cabinet steps that advanced beyond introduction. Traders price in historical precedent that presidents rarely exit before term end absent overwhelming bipartisan consensus or incapacity events, with the 2026 midterms more likely to shift House control than trigger immediate ouster. Sudden health developments or major scandals could still alter trajectories before December 2026, yet primary-source indicators show no such momentum at present.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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