Trump remains firmly entrenched as president more than 19 months into his second term, backed by Republican congressional majorities that create substantial procedural hurdles to impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment. His May 2026 Walter Reed physical produced an official report of excellent cardiac, pulmonary, neurological, and cognitive function, including a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score, despite ongoing public discussion of age-related symptoms around his 80th birthday. No formal resignation signals, successful removal efforts, or acute constitutional crises have emerged amid midterm pressures and foreign policy developments. Traders assign the low probability of an exit before 2027 to these institutional safeguards and the historical rarity of involuntary presidential departures absent extraordinary triggers.