Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a dominant position in Paraíba for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting longstanding voter alignment in the Northeast with the Workers’ Party and his administration’s policy priorities. Recent political developments, including Chamber of Deputies Speaker Hugo Motta’s August endorsement of Lula’s reelection bid amid local coalition arrangements, reinforce this regional base. National polling trends show Lula ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other challengers by double digits, with opposition votes fragmented across multiple candidates. Traders price in limited upside for alternatives given structural advantages for the incumbent in this state. Late shifts remain possible from turnout swings, economic developments, or campaign events before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLula 95.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.2%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Hertz Dias <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Hertz Dias
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Renan Santos
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Zema
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Lula 95.0%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.2%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Hertz Dias <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$2,950 KL.
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$334 KL.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$431 KL.
1%
Hertz Dias
$483 KL.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$431 KL.
1%
Renan Santos
$431 KL.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$431 KL.
1%
Samara
$431 KL.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$431 KL.
1%
Zema
$431 KL.
1%
Clariana Barao
$431 KL.
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$493 KL.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 KL.
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a dominant position in Paraíba for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting longstanding voter alignment in the Northeast with the Workers’ Party and his administration’s policy priorities. Recent political developments, including Chamber of Deputies Speaker Hugo Motta’s August endorsement of Lula’s reelection bid amid local coalition arrangements, reinforce this regional base. National polling trends show Lula ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other challengers by double digits, with opposition votes fragmented across multiple candidates. Traders price in limited upside for alternatives given structural advantages for the incumbent in this state. Late shifts remain possible from turnout swings, economic developments, or campaign events before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,140Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a dominant position in Paraíba for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting longstanding voter alignment in the Northeast with the Workers’ Party and his administration’s policy priorities. Recent political developments, including Chamber of Deputies Speaker Hugo Motta’s August endorsement of Lula’s reelection bid amid local coalition arrangements, reinforce this regional base. National polling trends show Lula ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other challengers by double digits, with opposition votes fragmented across multiple candidates. Traders price in limited upside for alternatives given structural advantages for the incumbent in this state. Late shifts remain possible from turnout swings, economic developments, or campaign events before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$8,140Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva maintains a dominant position in Paraíba for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting longstanding voter alignment in the Northeast with the Workers’ Party and his administration’s policy priorities. Recent political developments, including Chamber of Deputies Speaker Hugo Motta’s August endorsement of Lula’s reelection bid amid local coalition arrangements, reinforce this regional base. National polling trends show Lula ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other challengers by double digits, with opposition votes fragmented across multiple candidates. Traders price in limited upside for alternatives given structural advantages for the incumbent in this state. Late shifts remain possible from turnout swings, economic developments, or campaign events before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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