**Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Espírito Santo’s October 4 first-round presidential vote at 84.5 percent, reflecting state-level polling that shows him tied with or ahead of President Lula.** July surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest placed the PL senator at 36 percent and 30 percent respectively in the state, versus Lula at 34 percent and 30 percent—within margins of error and far ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Espírito Santo’s consistent support for non-PT candidates in recent presidential cycles and the consolidation of right-leaning voters behind the Liberal Party nominee help sustain the gap, even as national polls show Lula ahead overall. The official campaign launch in mid-August and limited recent state-specific data have kept probabilities stable, with low single-digit shares for all other listed contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlavio Bolsonaro 85%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 6.3%
Lula 5.6%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
85%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
6%
Lula
6%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Samara
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 85%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi 6.3%
Lula 5.6%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4,326 KL.
85%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$845 KL.
6%
Lula
$239 KL.
6%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$247 KL.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$211 KL.
1%
Clariana Barao
$218 KL.
1%
Renan Santos
$383 KL.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$385 KL.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$478 KL.
<1%
Samara
$467 KL.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$381 KL.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$671 KL.
<1%
Zema
$710 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Espírito Santo’s October 4 first-round presidential vote at 84.5 percent, reflecting state-level polling that shows him tied with or ahead of President Lula.** July surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest placed the PL senator at 36 percent and 30 percent respectively in the state, versus Lula at 34 percent and 30 percent—within margins of error and far ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Espírito Santo’s consistent support for non-PT candidates in recent presidential cycles and the consolidation of right-leaning voters behind the Liberal Party nominee help sustain the gap, even as national polls show Lula ahead overall. The official campaign launch in mid-August and limited recent state-specific data have kept probabilities stable, with low single-digit shares for all other listed contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,562Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Espírito Santo’s October 4 first-round presidential vote at 84.5 percent, reflecting state-level polling that shows him tied with or ahead of President Lula.** July surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest placed the PL senator at 36 percent and 30 percent respectively in the state, versus Lula at 34 percent and 30 percent—within margins of error and far ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Espírito Santo’s consistent support for non-PT candidates in recent presidential cycles and the consolidation of right-leaning voters behind the Liberal Party nominee help sustain the gap, even as national polls show Lula ahead overall. The official campaign launch in mid-August and limited recent state-specific data have kept probabilities stable, with low single-digit shares for all other listed contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$9,562Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader pricing for first place in Espírito Santo’s October 4 first-round presidential vote at 84.5 percent, reflecting state-level polling that shows him tied with or ahead of President Lula.** July surveys from Real Time Big Data and Quaest placed the PL senator at 36 percent and 30 percent respectively in the state, versus Lula at 34 percent and 30 percent—within margins of error and far ahead of Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury. Espírito Santo’s consistent support for non-PT candidates in recent presidential cycles and the consolidation of right-leaning voters behind the Liberal Party nominee help sustain the gap, even as national polls show Lula ahead overall. The official campaign launch in mid-August and limited recent state-specific data have kept probabilities stable, with low single-digit shares for all other listed contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp