Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMarcelo Crivella 79%
Michelly Xavier 76%
Luciano Mattos 74%
André Monteiro 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
79%
Michelly Xavier
76%
Luciano Mattos
74%
André Monteiro
35%
Benedita da Silva
35%
Marcos Dias
33%
Pedro Paulo
31%
Vinicius Benevides
30%
Waguinho
30%
Ó Clemente
30%
Monica Benicio
30%
Paula Falcão
29%
Carlos Portinho
26%
Luiz Eugenio
19%
Helio Secco
3%
Carlos Jordy
35%
Marcelo Crivella 79%
Michelly Xavier 76%
Luciano Mattos 74%
André Monteiro 35%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$67 KL.
79%
Michelly Xavier
$67 KL.
76%
Luciano Mattos
$67 KL.
74%
André Monteiro
$67 KL.
35%
Benedita da Silva
$67 KL.
35%
Marcos Dias
$67 KL.
33%
Pedro Paulo
$67 KL.
31%
Vinicius Benevides
$98 KL.
30%
Waguinho
$67 KL.
30%
Ó Clemente
$67 KL.
30%
Monica Benicio
$67 KL.
30%
Paula Falcão
$93 KL.
29%
Carlos Portinho
$67 KL.
26%
Luiz Eugenio
$123 KL.
19%
Helio Secco
$93 KL.
3%
Carlos Jordy
$87 KL.
35%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,227Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$1,227Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes like Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest shows Benedita da Silva (PT) and Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) as the frontrunners for the two Rio de Janeiro Senate seats, with Benedita often ahead but Crivella close behind in stimulated scenarios. The fragmented field of over a dozen candidates—including Pedro Paulo (PSD), Carlos Portinho (PL), Mônica Benício (PSOL), and others—keeps first-place probabilities dispersed, as no contender exceeds 30% in most surveys and many voters remain undecided weeks before the October vote. Official campaigning began August 16, limiting recent momentum shifts, while alliances tied to the gubernatorial race and evangelical voter blocs provide structural support for the leaders. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with room for late separation driven by turnout patterns, endorsements, or debate performances among the top contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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