Lula's commanding lead in Ceará first-round voting intentions reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT and its candidate's record of strong Northeast support, as confirmed by multiple September 2026 polls showing the incumbent at 54-59% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 23-26% and single-digit or lower shares for all other contenders. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys indicate stable margins, with Lula's government approval near 63% in the state and limited movement despite opposition campaigning focused on judicial issues and regional outreach. Trader consensus at 96.4% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent leads and historical patterns in Ceará, where structural voter preferences have sustained wide gaps. A late major scandal, health event, or unexpected coalition realignment could narrow the advantage, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLula 96.4%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Samara <1%
$17,612 KL.
$17,612 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
2%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Lula 96.4%
Flavio Bolsonaro 1.7%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Samara <1%
$17,612 KL.
$17,612 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$8,134 KL.
96%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,228 KL.
2%
Ronaldo Caiado
$919 KL.
<1%
Samara
$714 KL.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$765 KL.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$755 KL.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$755 KL.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$625 KL.
<1%
Zema
$815 KL.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$736 KL.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$701 KL.
<1%
Renan Santos
$764 KL.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$702 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding lead in Ceará first-round voting intentions reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT and its candidate's record of strong Northeast support, as confirmed by multiple September 2026 polls showing the incumbent at 54-59% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 23-26% and single-digit or lower shares for all other contenders. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys indicate stable margins, with Lula's government approval near 63% in the state and limited movement despite opposition campaigning focused on judicial issues and regional outreach. Trader consensus at 96.4% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent leads and historical patterns in Ceará, where structural voter preferences have sustained wide gaps. A late major scandal, health event, or unexpected coalition realignment could narrow the advantage, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,612Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding lead in Ceará first-round voting intentions reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT and its candidate's record of strong Northeast support, as confirmed by multiple September 2026 polls showing the incumbent at 54-59% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 23-26% and single-digit or lower shares for all other contenders. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys indicate stable margins, with Lula's government approval near 63% in the state and limited movement despite opposition campaigning focused on judicial issues and regional outreach. Trader consensus at 96.4% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent leads and historical patterns in Ceará, where structural voter preferences have sustained wide gaps. A late major scandal, health event, or unexpected coalition realignment could narrow the advantage, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$17,612Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Lula's commanding lead in Ceará first-round voting intentions reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the PT and its candidate's record of strong Northeast support, as confirmed by multiple September 2026 polls showing the incumbent at 54-59% against Flávio Bolsonaro's 23-26% and single-digit or lower shares for all other contenders. Recent Datafolha and Real Time Big Data surveys indicate stable margins, with Lula's government approval near 63% in the state and limited movement despite opposition campaigning focused on judicial issues and regional outreach. Trader consensus at 96.4% for Lula as first-place finisher aligns with these consistent leads and historical patterns in Ceará, where structural voter preferences have sustained wide gaps. A late major scandal, health event, or unexpected coalition realignment could narrow the advantage, though no such developments have materialized in the current cycle.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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