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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Thế Giới·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Thế Giới·Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Romeu Zema 40%

Renan Santos 32%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 6.1%

Polymarket

$278,890 KL.

Romeu Zema 40%

Renan Santos 32%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Michelle Bolsonaro 6.1%

Polymarket

$278,890 KL.

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$10,564 KL.

40%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$61,814 KL.

32%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$16,727 KL.

18%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,797 KL.

6%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$2,559 KL.

5%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$6,741 KL.

6%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$14,354 KL.

3%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$6,037 KL.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,328 KL.

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,260 KL.

1%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$83 KL.

1%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$83 KL.

1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$4,092 KL.

1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$4,536 KL.

<1%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,157 KL.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$39,622 KL.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$93,135 KL.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Genial/Quaest polling from May 8–11 confirms President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro dominating Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential ballot at 39% and 33%, positioning the 3rd-place contest among right-wing governors and outsiders. Trader consensus favors ex-Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema at 39.5% implied probability, driven by his uptick to 4%—matching Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado's slip from 6%—and his NOVO party's fiscal conservative appeal amid Minas Gerais' economic strength. Activist Renan Santos follows closely at 31.5%, leveraging MBL-rooted momentum in fragmented conservative ranks, with Caiado at 18%. The tight race reflects undecided right-wing consolidation risks; party conventions by August or Bolsonaro family signals could create separation before campaigning intensifies.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$278,890
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent Genial/Quaest polling from May 8–11 confirms President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro dominating Brazil's October 4 first-round presidential ballot at 39% and 33%, positioning the 3rd-place contest among right-wing governors and outsiders. Trader consensus favors ex-Minas Gerais Governor Romeu Zema at 39.5% implied probability, driven by his uptick to 4%—matching Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado's slip from 6%—and his NOVO party's fiscal conservative appeal amid Minas Gerais' economic strength. Activist Renan Santos follows closely at 31.5%, leveraging MBL-rooted momentum in fragmented conservative ranks, with Caiado at 18%. The tight race reflects undecided right-wing consolidation risks; party conventions by August or Bolsonaro family signals could create separation before campaigning intensifies.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$278,890
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 17 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Romeu Zema" ở mức 40%, tiếp theo là "Renan Santos" ở mức 32%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 40¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 40% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" đã tạo $278.9K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Feb 11, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place," duyệt 17 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" là "Romeu Zema" ở mức 40%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 40% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Renan Santos" ở mức 32%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.