Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará who assumed the role in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round election. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from mid-September shows her at 40% in the first round and 42% in a simulated runoff against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% and 36%, respectively, within the survey’s margin of error. Her broad MDB-led coalition, established administrative record, and ongoing campaign events in Belém and interior municipalities reinforce trader consensus around her frontrunner status. Daniel Santos remains the main challenger, while other registered candidates trail far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff continue to shape probabilities as undecided voters and regional turnout patterns could still influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHana Ghassan 63%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,612 KL.
$46,612 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
63%
Dr. Daniel Santos
34%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 63%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,612 KL.
$46,612 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,312 KL.
63%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,558 KL.
34%
Éder Mauro
$5,308 KL.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,835 KL.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,831 KL.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,892 KL.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,875 KL.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará who assumed the role in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round election. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from mid-September shows her at 40% in the first round and 42% in a simulated runoff against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% and 36%, respectively, within the survey’s margin of error. Her broad MDB-led coalition, established administrative record, and ongoing campaign events in Belém and interior municipalities reinforce trader consensus around her frontrunner status. Daniel Santos remains the main challenger, while other registered candidates trail far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff continue to shape probabilities as undecided voters and regional turnout patterns could still influence the outcome.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$46,612Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará who assumed the role in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round election. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from mid-September shows her at 40% in the first round and 42% in a simulated runoff against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% and 36%, respectively, within the survey’s margin of error. Her broad MDB-led coalition, established administrative record, and ongoing campaign events in Belém and interior municipalities reinforce trader consensus around her frontrunner status. Daniel Santos remains the main challenger, while other registered candidates trail far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff continue to shape probabilities as undecided voters and regional turnout patterns could still influence the outcome.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$46,612Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor of Pará who assumed the role in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat, holds the strongest position in the October 4 first-round election. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from mid-September shows her at 40% in the first round and 42% in a simulated runoff against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% and 36%, respectively, within the survey’s margin of error. Her broad MDB-led coalition, established administrative record, and ongoing campaign events in Belém and interior municipalities reinforce trader consensus around her frontrunner status. Daniel Santos remains the main challenger, while other registered candidates trail far behind in both surveys and market pricing. The first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff continue to shape probabilities as undecided voters and regional turnout patterns could still influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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