Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHana Ghassan 62%
Dr. Daniel Santos 36%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,893 KL.
$46,893 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
62%
Dr. Daniel Santos
36%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 62%
Dr. Daniel Santos 36%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$46,893 KL.
$46,893 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,312 KL.
62%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,839 KL.
36%
Éder Mauro
$5,308 KL.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,835 KL.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,831 KL.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,892 KL.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,875 KL.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$46,893Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$46,893Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor of Pará who assumed office following Helder Barbalho’s departure for a Senate bid, holds a structural edge through her incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PT, PSD, and others, and recent polling leads. Mid-September surveys such as Real Time Big Data showed her at 40% versus Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 35% in first-round simulations, with Hana extending the margin to 42-36% in runoff matchups; earlier Quaest and Veritá releases indicated tighter or alternating leads. Daniel, the former Ananindeua mayor, draws strength from metropolitan support and his own coalition but trails in most head-to-head data. With the first round set for October 4 and substantial undecided voters, trader pricing at 65% for Ghassan and 34.5% for Santos captures the narrow but consistent advantage for the incumbent heading into the final campaign weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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