Santa Catarina's status as a conservative stronghold in Brazil's South region, where Jair Bolsonaro won decisively in 2022, underpins trader consensus favoring Flávio Bolsonaro for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round. The Liberal Party maintains strong organizational ties there, including recent resolutions of internal candidate disputes involving Flávio's allies and Governor Jorginho Mello. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet the state's right-leaning electorate and limited support for left-leaning or centrist challengers like Lula, Ronaldo Caiado, or Renan Santos create significant structural barriers for alternatives. Flávio's July candidacy launch and family endorsements have reinforced positioning ahead of voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina
Flavio Bolsonaro 90%
Lula 8.2%
Edmilson Costa 3.9%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
90%
Lula
8%
Edmilson Costa
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
4%
Hertz Dias
4%
Pablo Marçal
4%
Renan Santos
4%
Clariana Barao
4%
Escritor Augusto Cury
4%
Zema
4%
Samara
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 90%
Lula 8.2%
Edmilson Costa 3.9%
Ronaldo Caiado 3.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$407 KL.
90%
Lula
$125 KL.
8%
Edmilson Costa
$125 KL.
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
$125 KL.
4%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$125 KL.
4%
Hertz Dias
$125 KL.
4%
Pablo Marçal
$125 KL.
4%
Renan Santos
$125 KL.
4%
Clariana Barao
$125 KL.
4%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$125 KL.
4%
Zema
$115 KL.
4%
Samara
$130 KL.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$130 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Santa Catarina's status as a conservative stronghold in Brazil's South region, where Jair Bolsonaro won decisively in 2022, underpins trader consensus favoring Flávio Bolsonaro for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round. The Liberal Party maintains strong organizational ties there, including recent resolutions of internal candidate disputes involving Flávio's allies and Governor Jorginho Mello. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet the state's right-leaning electorate and limited support for left-leaning or centrist challengers like Lula, Ronaldo Caiado, or Renan Santos create significant structural barriers for alternatives. Flávio's July candidacy launch and family endorsements have reinforced positioning ahead of voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,909Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Santa Catarina's status as a conservative stronghold in Brazil's South region, where Jair Bolsonaro won decisively in 2022, underpins trader consensus favoring Flávio Bolsonaro for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round. The Liberal Party maintains strong organizational ties there, including recent resolutions of internal candidate disputes involving Flávio's allies and Governor Jorginho Mello. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet the state's right-leaning electorate and limited support for left-leaning or centrist challengers like Lula, Ronaldo Caiado, or Renan Santos create significant structural barriers for alternatives. Flávio's July candidacy launch and family endorsements have reinforced positioning ahead of voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$1,909Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Santa Catarina's status as a conservative stronghold in Brazil's South region, where Jair Bolsonaro won decisively in 2022, underpins trader consensus favoring Flávio Bolsonaro for first place in the October 4, 2026 first round. The Liberal Party maintains strong organizational ties there, including recent resolutions of internal candidate disputes involving Flávio's allies and Governor Jorginho Mello. National polling shows Lula ahead overall, yet the state's right-leaning electorate and limited support for left-leaning or centrist challengers like Lula, Ronaldo Caiado, or Renan Santos create significant structural barriers for alternatives. Flávio's July candidacy launch and family endorsements have reinforced positioning ahead of voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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