United Russia’s commanding position as the long-incumbent ruling party stems from its control of electoral procedures, extensive state media access, and limited viable opposition participation ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent primaries, leadership restructuring, and candidate lists emphasizing party loyalists and select war veterans have reinforced its organizational edge, while legal and registration barriers have restricted several smaller parties. These structural factors underpin the market’s assessment of United Russia’s near-certain retention of the largest bloc. Shifts could theoretically arise from major unforeseen developments in the ongoing conflict, sharp economic pressures, or unexpected changes in turnout or candidate eligibility before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 98.4%
Yabloko <1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%
$3,166,942 KL.
$3,166,942 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
98%
Yabloko
1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
<1%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
<1%
Những Người Mới (NL)
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
<1%
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 98.4%
Yabloko <1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%
$3,166,942 KL.
$3,166,942 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
$792,496 KL.
98%
Yabloko
$30,991 KL.
1%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
$203,869 KL.
<1%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
$161,169 KL.
<1%
Những Người Mới (NL)
$136,401 KL.
<1%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
$735,901 KL.
<1%
Rodina
$502,708 KL.
<1%
Nền tảng Công dân (GP)
$603,407 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia’s commanding position as the long-incumbent ruling party stems from its control of electoral procedures, extensive state media access, and limited viable opposition participation ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent primaries, leadership restructuring, and candidate lists emphasizing party loyalists and select war veterans have reinforced its organizational edge, while legal and registration barriers have restricted several smaller parties. These structural factors underpin the market’s assessment of United Russia’s near-certain retention of the largest bloc. Shifts could theoretically arise from major unforeseen developments in the ongoing conflict, sharp economic pressures, or unexpected changes in turnout or candidate eligibility before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,166,942Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia’s commanding position as the long-incumbent ruling party stems from its control of electoral procedures, extensive state media access, and limited viable opposition participation ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent primaries, leadership restructuring, and candidate lists emphasizing party loyalists and select war veterans have reinforced its organizational edge, while legal and registration barriers have restricted several smaller parties. These structural factors underpin the market’s assessment of United Russia’s near-certain retention of the largest bloc. Shifts could theoretically arise from major unforeseen developments in the ongoing conflict, sharp economic pressures, or unexpected changes in turnout or candidate eligibility before voting concludes.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$3,166,942Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia’s commanding position as the long-incumbent ruling party stems from its control of electoral procedures, extensive state media access, and limited viable opposition participation ahead of the September 2026 State Duma elections. Recent primaries, leadership restructuring, and candidate lists emphasizing party loyalists and select war veterans have reinforced its organizational edge, while legal and registration barriers have restricted several smaller parties. These structural factors underpin the market’s assessment of United Russia’s near-certain retention of the largest bloc. Shifts could theoretically arise from major unforeseen developments in the ongoing conflict, sharp economic pressures, or unexpected changes in turnout or candidate eligibility before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
42%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
84%
Liệu Đảng Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga sắp tới không?
74%
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