Ukraine’s political leadership under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown no fractures amid extended martial law, which centralizes authority and suspends elections while channeling resources toward frontline defense and Western military aid. Security services have repeatedly neutralized earlier plots without triggering elite defections or military splits, and recent weeks featured routine mobilization measures alongside diplomatic initiatives such as the May 2026 unilateral ceasefire proposal rather than internal power struggles. Russian information operations continue to amplify false narratives of instability, yet independent reporting confirms unified government cohesion and steady inflows of European support packages scheduled for June. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this absence of verifiable catalysts. A sudden frontline collapse, major corruption scandal implicating senior officials, or high-level military defection remain the primary low-probability developments that could shift probabilities before the June 30 resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$12,266 KL.
$12,266 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$12,266 KL.
$12,266 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine’s political leadership under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown no fractures amid extended martial law, which centralizes authority and suspends elections while channeling resources toward frontline defense and Western military aid. Security services have repeatedly neutralized earlier plots without triggering elite defections or military splits, and recent weeks featured routine mobilization measures alongside diplomatic initiatives such as the May 2026 unilateral ceasefire proposal rather than internal power struggles. Russian information operations continue to amplify false narratives of instability, yet independent reporting confirms unified government cohesion and steady inflows of European support packages scheduled for June. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this absence of verifiable catalysts. A sudden frontline collapse, major corruption scandal implicating senior officials, or high-level military defection remain the primary low-probability developments that could shift probabilities before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,266Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine’s political leadership under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown no fractures amid extended martial law, which centralizes authority and suspends elections while channeling resources toward frontline defense and Western military aid. Security services have repeatedly neutralized earlier plots without triggering elite defections or military splits, and recent weeks featured routine mobilization measures alongside diplomatic initiatives such as the May 2026 unilateral ceasefire proposal rather than internal power struggles. Russian information operations continue to amplify false narratives of instability, yet independent reporting confirms unified government cohesion and steady inflows of European support packages scheduled for June. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this absence of verifiable catalysts. A sudden frontline collapse, major corruption scandal implicating senior officials, or high-level military defection remain the primary low-probability developments that could shift probabilities before the June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$12,266Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s political leadership under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has shown no fractures amid extended martial law, which centralizes authority and suspends elections while channeling resources toward frontline defense and Western military aid. Security services have repeatedly neutralized earlier plots without triggering elite defections or military splits, and recent weeks featured routine mobilization measures alongside diplomatic initiatives such as the May 2026 unilateral ceasefire proposal rather than internal power struggles. Russian information operations continue to amplify false narratives of instability, yet independent reporting confirms unified government cohesion and steady inflows of European support packages scheduled for June. Traders price the near-certain “No” outcome on this absence of verifiable catalysts. A sudden frontline collapse, major corruption scandal implicating senior officials, or high-level military defection remain the primary low-probability developments that could shift probabilities before the June 30 resolution date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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