Trilateral talks between the US, Russia, and Ukraine in early 2026 produced no breakthroughs on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, with sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielding only limited prisoner exchanges. European leaders have since advanced alternative frameworks emphasizing Ukraine’s sovereignty and postwar security, while the Kremlin stated in mid-July 2026 that it sees no immediate prospect for resuming direct negotiations despite remaining open to the concept and welcoming Turkish facilitation. Battlefield developments, including Ukrainian strikes and a recent halt to Russian advances, have coincided with these diplomatic pauses. Persistent gaps between maximalist positions continue to shape trader assessments of near-term progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$319,167 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
25%
December 31
61%
$319,167 KL.
September 30
$154,704 KL.
25%
December 31
$145,750 KL.
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trilateral talks between the US, Russia, and Ukraine in early 2026 produced no breakthroughs on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, with sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielding only limited prisoner exchanges. European leaders have since advanced alternative frameworks emphasizing Ukraine’s sovereignty and postwar security, while the Kremlin stated in mid-July 2026 that it sees no immediate prospect for resuming direct negotiations despite remaining open to the concept and welcoming Turkish facilitation. Battlefield developments, including Ukrainian strikes and a recent halt to Russian advances, have coincided with these diplomatic pauses. Persistent gaps between maximalist positions continue to shape trader assessments of near-term progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$319,167Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trilateral talks between the US, Russia, and Ukraine in early 2026 produced no breakthroughs on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, with sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielding only limited prisoner exchanges. European leaders have since advanced alternative frameworks emphasizing Ukraine’s sovereignty and postwar security, while the Kremlin stated in mid-July 2026 that it sees no immediate prospect for resuming direct negotiations despite remaining open to the concept and welcoming Turkish facilitation. Battlefield developments, including Ukrainian strikes and a recent halt to Russian advances, have coincided with these diplomatic pauses. Persistent gaps between maximalist positions continue to shape trader assessments of near-term progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$319,167Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trilateral talks between the US, Russia, and Ukraine in early 2026 produced no breakthroughs on core issues including territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire terms, with sessions in Abu Dhabi and Geneva yielding only limited prisoner exchanges. European leaders have since advanced alternative frameworks emphasizing Ukraine’s sovereignty and postwar security, while the Kremlin stated in mid-July 2026 that it sees no immediate prospect for resuming direct negotiations despite remaining open to the concept and welcoming Turkish facilitation. Battlefield developments, including Ukrainian strikes and a recent halt to Russian advances, have coincided with these diplomatic pauses. Persistent gaps between maximalist positions continue to shape trader assessments of near-term progress.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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