Ongoing diplomatic efforts face persistent barriers from disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with Russia conditioning any process on recognition of battlefield realities and prior frameworks such as those discussed in Istanbul and Anchorage. As of mid-July 2026, Kremlin statements indicated no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations despite openness to third-party facilitation from Turkey. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio noted on August 1 that diplomatic initiatives over the coming weeks would test whether bilateral talks could restart, building on late-July discussions between Ukrainian and US officials on proposals to halt aerial attacks. Earlier 2026 rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced limited progress on military issues but stalled on core political questions, while brief holiday ceasefires in April and May highlighted enforcement challenges amid continued strikes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$280,063 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
36%
December 31
62%
$280,063 KL.
September 30
$148,558 KL.
36%
December 31
$112,793 KL.
62%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic efforts face persistent barriers from disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with Russia conditioning any process on recognition of battlefield realities and prior frameworks such as those discussed in Istanbul and Anchorage. As of mid-July 2026, Kremlin statements indicated no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations despite openness to third-party facilitation from Turkey. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio noted on August 1 that diplomatic initiatives over the coming weeks would test whether bilateral talks could restart, building on late-July discussions between Ukrainian and US officials on proposals to halt aerial attacks. Earlier 2026 rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced limited progress on military issues but stalled on core political questions, while brief holiday ceasefires in April and May highlighted enforcement challenges amid continued strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$280,063Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic efforts face persistent barriers from disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with Russia conditioning any process on recognition of battlefield realities and prior frameworks such as those discussed in Istanbul and Anchorage. As of mid-July 2026, Kremlin statements indicated no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations despite openness to third-party facilitation from Turkey. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio noted on August 1 that diplomatic initiatives over the coming weeks would test whether bilateral talks could restart, building on late-July discussions between Ukrainian and US officials on proposals to halt aerial attacks. Earlier 2026 rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced limited progress on military issues but stalled on core political questions, while brief holiday ceasefires in April and May highlighted enforcement challenges amid continued strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$280,063Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic efforts face persistent barriers from disagreements over territorial control, security guarantees, and ceasefire monitoring, with Russia conditioning any process on recognition of battlefield realities and prior frameworks such as those discussed in Istanbul and Anchorage. As of mid-July 2026, Kremlin statements indicated no immediate prospects for resumed negotiations despite openness to third-party facilitation from Turkey. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio noted on August 1 that diplomatic initiatives over the coming weeks would test whether bilateral talks could restart, building on late-July discussions between Ukrainian and US officials on proposals to halt aerial attacks. Earlier 2026 rounds in Geneva and Abu Dhabi produced limited progress on military issues but stalled on core political questions, while brief holiday ceasefires in April and May highlighted enforcement challenges amid continued strikes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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