Recent developments in U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the Kremlin’s June 9 statement ruling out near-term calls or envoy visits amid stalled Ukraine mediation, have reinforced trader consensus around no bilateral Trump-Putin meeting through year-end. Their last in-person encounter occurred in Alaska in 2025, with subsequent Budapest plans canceled and G20 invitation prospects uncertain. China’s elevated probability reflects recent Putin-Xi summits and Beijing’s role as a frequent diplomatic venue, while low odds for Russia, Gulf states, or Europe track logistical and political barriers in active conflict talks. Scheduled multilateral events like the December G20 offer limited windows but face confirmation hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 KL.
$48,275 KL.

No meeting by December 31
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 61%
China 20%
Russia 5%
Gulf country 5%
$48,275 KL.
$48,275 KL.

No meeting by December 31
61%

China
20%

Russia
5%

Gulf country
5%

United States
5%

Turkey
3%

Belarus
2%

Switzerland
2%

Other
1%

Other EU country
1%

South Korea
1%

Ukraine
1%

Finland
1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent developments in U.S.-Russia diplomacy, including the Kremlin’s June 9 statement ruling out near-term calls or envoy visits amid stalled Ukraine mediation, have reinforced trader consensus around no bilateral Trump-Putin meeting through year-end. Their last in-person encounter occurred in Alaska in 2025, with subsequent Budapest plans canceled and G20 invitation prospects uncertain. China’s elevated probability reflects recent Putin-Xi summits and Beijing’s role as a frequent diplomatic venue, while low odds for Russia, Gulf states, or Europe track logistical and political barriers in active conflict talks. Scheduled multilateral events like the December G20 offer limited windows but face confirmation hurdles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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