Recent Kremlin statements confirm discussions between Presidents Trump and Putin about a possible bilateral or trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November 18-19. Kremlin aides Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov noted that both leaders plan to attend and that the idea was raised during their September 8 phone call, alongside Ukraine-related diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects this development by assigning China the highest implied probability, while the sizable share for no meeting by year-end accounts for uncertainty over Trump’s attendance and the absence of a confirmed bilateral date or venue. Alternative locations such as the United States, Russia, or traditional European or Gulf sites show lower probabilities absent comparable recent diplomatic signals or scheduled multilateral events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina 56%
No meeting by December 31 34%
United States 4.7%
Russia 1.7%
$1,068,678 KL.
$1,068,678 KL.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
34%

United States
5%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
2%

Belarus
2%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

South Korea
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
1%

Australia
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 56%
No meeting by December 31 34%
United States 4.7%
Russia 1.7%
$1,068,678 KL.
$1,068,678 KL.

China
56%

No meeting by December 31
34%

United States
5%

Russia
2%

Gulf country
2%

Belarus
2%

Other
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

South Korea
1%

Japan
1%

Finland
1%

Australia
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements confirm discussions between Presidents Trump and Putin about a possible bilateral or trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November 18-19. Kremlin aides Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov noted that both leaders plan to attend and that the idea was raised during their September 8 phone call, alongside Ukraine-related diplomacy. Trader consensus reflects this development by assigning China the highest implied probability, while the sizable share for no meeting by year-end accounts for uncertainty over Trump’s attendance and the absence of a confirmed bilateral date or venue. Alternative locations such as the United States, Russia, or traditional European or Gulf sites show lower probabilities absent comparable recent diplomatic signals or scheduled multilateral events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp