Israel's airspace reopened around April 9 after a ceasefire ended the February 2026 US-Israel strikes on Iran and subsequent retaliatory barrages that prompted weeks-long closures through early April. No major shutdowns have occurred since, despite persistent Hezbollah rocket fire from Lebanon and ongoing Gaza operations by Israeli forces. Key recent developments include a May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport preparing for possible closure amid aerial threat assessments, and May 11 reports of planned Lebanon ground escalation despite IDF troop constraints. Traders monitor northern border skirmishes, potential airstrikes, and diplomatic overtures like Netanyahu's recently confirmed UAE visit for signals of intensified conflict that could trigger restrictions before May 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$784,590 KL.
May 31, 2026
May 31
21%
June 30
40%
$784,590 KL.
May 31
$284,894 KL.
21%
June 30
$4,447 KL.
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's airspace reopened around April 9 after a ceasefire ended the February 2026 US-Israel strikes on Iran and subsequent retaliatory barrages that prompted weeks-long closures through early April. No major shutdowns have occurred since, despite persistent Hezbollah rocket fire from Lebanon and ongoing Gaza operations by Israeli forces. Key recent developments include a May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport preparing for possible closure amid aerial threat assessments, and May 11 reports of planned Lebanon ground escalation despite IDF troop constraints. Traders monitor northern border skirmishes, potential airstrikes, and diplomatic overtures like Netanyahu's recently confirmed UAE visit for signals of intensified conflict that could trigger restrictions before May 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$784,590Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's airspace reopened around April 9 after a ceasefire ended the February 2026 US-Israel strikes on Iran and subsequent retaliatory barrages that prompted weeks-long closures through early April. No major shutdowns have occurred since, despite persistent Hezbollah rocket fire from Lebanon and ongoing Gaza operations by Israeli forces. Key recent developments include a May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport preparing for possible closure amid aerial threat assessments, and May 11 reports of planned Lebanon ground escalation despite IDF troop constraints. Traders monitor northern border skirmishes, potential airstrikes, and diplomatic overtures like Netanyahu's recently confirmed UAE visit for signals of intensified conflict that could trigger restrictions before May 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$784,590Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's airspace reopened around April 9 after a ceasefire ended the February 2026 US-Israel strikes on Iran and subsequent retaliatory barrages that prompted weeks-long closures through early April. No major shutdowns have occurred since, despite persistent Hezbollah rocket fire from Lebanon and ongoing Gaza operations by Israeli forces. Key recent developments include a May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport preparing for possible closure amid aerial threat assessments, and May 11 reports of planned Lebanon ground escalation despite IDF troop constraints. Traders monitor northern border skirmishes, potential airstrikes, and diplomatic overtures like Netanyahu's recently confirmed UAE visit for signals of intensified conflict that could trigger restrictions before May 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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