Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding after the prior conflict, collapsed by July when both sides suspended commitments and the 60-day negotiation window expired without a final accord on nuclear limits. Iran has maintained its position on enrichment rights for civilian purposes while restricting IAEA access to key damaged sites, and recent satellite imagery shows reconstruction activity at facilities such as those in the Parchin complex and Pickaxe Mountain. These developments, alongside the absence of any verified agreement framework or timeline for halting enrichment activities ahead of year-end, underpin trader expectations that Tehran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
13% khả năng
$1,755,449 KL.
$1,755,449 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
13% khả năng
$1,755,449 KL.
$1,755,449 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding after the prior conflict, collapsed by July when both sides suspended commitments and the 60-day negotiation window expired without a final accord on nuclear limits. Iran has maintained its position on enrichment rights for civilian purposes while restricting IAEA access to key damaged sites, and recent satellite imagery shows reconstruction activity at facilities such as those in the Parchin complex and Pickaxe Mountain. These developments, alongside the absence of any verified agreement framework or timeline for halting enrichment activities ahead of year-end, underpin trader expectations that Tehran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,755,449Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding after the prior conflict, collapsed by July when both sides suspended commitments and the 60-day negotiation window expired without a final accord on nuclear limits. Iran has maintained its position on enrichment rights for civilian purposes while restricting IAEA access to key damaged sites, and recent satellite imagery shows reconstruction activity at facilities such as those in the Parchin complex and Pickaxe Mountain. These developments, alongside the absence of any verified agreement framework or timeline for halting enrichment activities ahead of year-end, underpin trader expectations that Tehran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,755,449Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran talks, including a June 2026 memorandum of understanding after the prior conflict, collapsed by July when both sides suspended commitments and the 60-day negotiation window expired without a final accord on nuclear limits. Iran has maintained its position on enrichment rights for civilian purposes while restricting IAEA access to key damaged sites, and recent satellite imagery shows reconstruction activity at facilities such as those in the Parchin complex and Pickaxe Mountain. These developments, alongside the absence of any verified agreement framework or timeline for halting enrichment activities ahead of year-end, underpin trader expectations that Tehran will not commit to ending uranium enrichment by December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp