Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since early 2025, including rounds through February-April 2026, show persistent gaps on enrichment. Washington continues to demand zero enrichment on Iranian soil, dismantlement or limits on facilities, and transfer or dilution of Iran's stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent, while Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right for civilian purposes and has proposed only temporary pauses or regional consortium models. May 2026 reports of draft memoranda addressed ceasefires and the Strait of Hormuz but left enrichment unresolved, with Iranian officials and the supreme leader rejecting permanent curbs. These entrenched positions, absent any breakthrough committing Iran to full termination by July 31, underpin trader consensus on the "No" outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
$41,977 KL.
$41,977 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
$41,977 KL.
$41,977 KL.
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since early 2025, including rounds through February-April 2026, show persistent gaps on enrichment. Washington continues to demand zero enrichment on Iranian soil, dismantlement or limits on facilities, and transfer or dilution of Iran's stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent, while Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right for civilian purposes and has proposed only temporary pauses or regional consortium models. May 2026 reports of draft memoranda addressed ceasefires and the Strait of Hormuz but left enrichment unresolved, with Iranian officials and the supreme leader rejecting permanent curbs. These entrenched positions, absent any breakthrough committing Iran to full termination by July 31, underpin trader consensus on the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$41,977Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since early 2025, including rounds through February-April 2026, show persistent gaps on enrichment. Washington continues to demand zero enrichment on Iranian soil, dismantlement or limits on facilities, and transfer or dilution of Iran's stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent, while Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right for civilian purposes and has proposed only temporary pauses or regional consortium models. May 2026 reports of draft memoranda addressed ceasefires and the Strait of Hormuz but left enrichment unresolved, with Iranian officials and the supreme leader rejecting permanent curbs. These entrenched positions, absent any breakthrough committing Iran to full termination by July 31, underpin trader consensus on the "No" outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$41,977Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations since early 2025, including rounds through February-April 2026, show persistent gaps on enrichment. Washington continues to demand zero enrichment on Iranian soil, dismantlement or limits on facilities, and transfer or dilution of Iran's stockpile of uranium enriched to 60 percent, while Tehran maintains enrichment as a sovereign right for civilian purposes and has proposed only temporary pauses or regional consortium models. May 2026 reports of draft memoranda addressed ceasefires and the Strait of Hormuz but left enrichment unresolved, with Iranian officials and the supreme leader rejecting permanent curbs. These entrenched positions, absent any breakthrough committing Iran to full termination by July 31, underpin trader consensus on the "No" outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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