Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed during U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, leading Iran's Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Supreme Leader on March 9 amid the ongoing war. Mojtaba, gravely wounded in the same strikes—suffering multiple leg surgeries, a pending prosthetic, facial burns impairing speech, and hand injuries—has avoided public appearances for security, communicating via handwritten notes relayed by couriers. Officials insist he remains mentally alert and approves key decisions, including Strait of Hormuz management, but his prolonged absence and faltering U.S. ceasefire talks have sparked expert warnings of a succession crisis, with no confirmed shifts in the past 30 days despite regime crackdowns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$13,505,112 KL.
May 31, 2026
Ngày 31 tháng 5
8%
30 tháng 6
14%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
35%
$13,505,112 KL.
Ngày 31 tháng 5
$1,872,801 KL.
8%
30 tháng 6
$1,050,545 KL.
14%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
$2,385,885 KL.
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed during U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, leading Iran's Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Supreme Leader on March 9 amid the ongoing war. Mojtaba, gravely wounded in the same strikes—suffering multiple leg surgeries, a pending prosthetic, facial burns impairing speech, and hand injuries—has avoided public appearances for security, communicating via handwritten notes relayed by couriers. Officials insist he remains mentally alert and approves key decisions, including Strait of Hormuz management, but his prolonged absence and faltering U.S. ceasefire talks have sparked expert warnings of a succession crisis, with no confirmed shifts in the past 30 days despite regime crackdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,505,112Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed during U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, leading Iran's Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Supreme Leader on March 9 amid the ongoing war. Mojtaba, gravely wounded in the same strikes—suffering multiple leg surgeries, a pending prosthetic, facial burns impairing speech, and hand injuries—has avoided public appearances for security, communicating via handwritten notes relayed by couriers. Officials insist he remains mentally alert and approves key decisions, including Strait of Hormuz management, but his prolonged absence and faltering U.S. ceasefire talks have sparked expert warnings of a succession crisis, with no confirmed shifts in the past 30 days despite regime crackdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$13,505,112Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed during U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, leading Iran's Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as Supreme Leader on March 9 amid the ongoing war. Mojtaba, gravely wounded in the same strikes—suffering multiple leg surgeries, a pending prosthetic, facial burns impairing speech, and hand injuries—has avoided public appearances for security, communicating via handwritten notes relayed by couriers. Officials insist he remains mentally alert and approves key decisions, including Strait of Hormuz management, but his prolonged absence and faltering U.S. ceasefire talks have sparked expert warnings of a succession crisis, with no confirmed shifts in the past 30 days despite regime crackdowns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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