**Iran experienced its longest recorded nationwide internet blackout in early 2026, beginning with protests in January and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February, with connectivity dropping below 5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Authorities have since maintained heavy filtering, tiered access favoring elites and domestic platforms, and slow international connectivity while advancing a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure, reportedly with foreign technical support. Recent statements from the vice president have questioned the effectiveness of blanket shutdowns, and no new total blackout has occurred amid ongoing economic pressures and limited protests. Trader pricing on future blackout contracts by late-2026 dates reflects this stabilization and the high costs of prolonged isolation, tempered by risks of renewed unrest or conflict escalation that could prompt renewed controls.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$248,968 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
December 31
14%
$248,968 KL.
September 30
$6,892 KL.
1%
December 31
$12,626 KL.
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Iran experienced its longest recorded nationwide internet blackout in early 2026, beginning with protests in January and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February, with connectivity dropping below 5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian.**
Authorities have since maintained heavy filtering, tiered access favoring elites and domestic platforms, and slow international connectivity while advancing a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure, reportedly with foreign technical support. Recent statements from the vice president have questioned the effectiveness of blanket shutdowns, and no new total blackout has occurred amid ongoing economic pressures and limited protests. Trader pricing on future blackout contracts by late-2026 dates reflects this stabilization and the high costs of prolonged isolation, tempered by risks of renewed unrest or conflict escalation that could prompt renewed controls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$248,968Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Iran experienced its longest recorded nationwide internet blackout in early 2026, beginning with protests in January and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February, with connectivity dropping below 5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian.**
Authorities have since maintained heavy filtering, tiered access favoring elites and domestic platforms, and slow international connectivity while advancing a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure, reportedly with foreign technical support. Recent statements from the vice president have questioned the effectiveness of blanket shutdowns, and no new total blackout has occurred amid ongoing economic pressures and limited protests. Trader pricing on future blackout contracts by late-2026 dates reflects this stabilization and the high costs of prolonged isolation, tempered by risks of renewed unrest or conflict escalation that could prompt renewed controls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$248,968Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Iran experienced its longest recorded nationwide internet blackout in early 2026, beginning with protests in January and intensifying after U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February, with connectivity dropping below 5% of normal levels for roughly 88 days until partial restoration in late May under President Masoud Pezeshkian.** Authorities have since maintained heavy filtering, tiered access favoring elites and domestic platforms, and slow international connectivity while advancing a national intranet and kill-switch infrastructure, reportedly with foreign technical support. Recent statements from the vice president have questioned the effectiveness of blanket shutdowns, and no new total blackout has occurred amid ongoing economic pressures and limited protests. Trader pricing on future blackout contracts by late-2026 dates reflects this stabilization and the high costs of prolonged isolation, tempered by risks of renewed unrest or conflict escalation that could prompt renewed controls.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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