Iranian officials and lawmakers have periodically threatened or debated NPT withdrawal amid heightened tensions, including parliamentary bill preparations in 2025, reviews in March 2026, and a July 2026 call by a presiding board member for immediate exit following reported leadership losses. However, no formal steps have materialized. Iran has instead participated in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States through mid-2026, including Geneva sessions in February, while maintaining its safeguards agreement with the IAEA despite suspended cooperation elements and post-strike verification gaps. Withdrawal would end civil nuclear assistance access and intensify isolation, factors that have kept trader consensus firmly against exit before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10% khả năng
$334,386 KL.
$334,386 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
10% khả năng
$334,386 KL.
$334,386 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials and lawmakers have periodically threatened or debated NPT withdrawal amid heightened tensions, including parliamentary bill preparations in 2025, reviews in March 2026, and a July 2026 call by a presiding board member for immediate exit following reported leadership losses. However, no formal steps have materialized. Iran has instead participated in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States through mid-2026, including Geneva sessions in February, while maintaining its safeguards agreement with the IAEA despite suspended cooperation elements and post-strike verification gaps. Withdrawal would end civil nuclear assistance access and intensify isolation, factors that have kept trader consensus firmly against exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$334,386Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials and lawmakers have periodically threatened or debated NPT withdrawal amid heightened tensions, including parliamentary bill preparations in 2025, reviews in March 2026, and a July 2026 call by a presiding board member for immediate exit following reported leadership losses. However, no formal steps have materialized. Iran has instead participated in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States through mid-2026, including Geneva sessions in February, while maintaining its safeguards agreement with the IAEA despite suspended cooperation elements and post-strike verification gaps. Withdrawal would end civil nuclear assistance access and intensify isolation, factors that have kept trader consensus firmly against exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$334,386Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials and lawmakers have periodically threatened or debated NPT withdrawal amid heightened tensions, including parliamentary bill preparations in 2025, reviews in March 2026, and a July 2026 call by a presiding board member for immediate exit following reported leadership losses. However, no formal steps have materialized. Iran has instead participated in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States through mid-2026, including Geneva sessions in February, while maintaining its safeguards agreement with the IAEA despite suspended cooperation elements and post-strike verification gaps. Withdrawal would end civil nuclear assistance access and intensify isolation, factors that have kept trader consensus firmly against exit before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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