Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10% khả năng
$334,386 KL.
$334,386 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
10% khả năng
$334,386 KL.
$334,386 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$334,386Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$334,386Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran has repeatedly threatened withdrawal from the NPT in response to U.S. and Israeli strikes on its nuclear facilities in 2025 and potential snapback sanctions, with Iranian parliamentarians introducing related legislation in March 2026. These moves remain at the proposal stage, however, without formal notice or implementation. Iran continues to engage in NPT review processes, submit working papers to the 2026 conference, and participate in bilateral nuclear talks with the United States aimed at verification measures and stockpile limits. Ongoing diplomacy, partial IAEA cooperation, and the high diplomatic and economic costs of exit have kept actual withdrawal off the immediate agenda, supporting trader consensus that the step is unlikely before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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