Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$144,713 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Steve Witkoff
63%
Jared Kushner
66%
Abbas Araghchi
46%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
51%
J.D. Vance
41%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
35%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
45%
Nick Stewart
27%
Masoud Pezeshkian
30%
Rafael Grossi
32%
Marco Rubio
42%
Ishaq Dar
37%
Kazem Gharibabadi
21%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Donald Trump
12%
Esmail Qaani
13%
Ahmad Vahidi
7%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$144,713 KL.
Steve Witkoff
$6,979 KL.
63%
Jared Kushner
$7,972 KL.
66%
Abbas Araghchi
$5,190 KL.
46%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$8,544 KL.
51%
J.D. Vance
$11,097 KL.
41%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$8,645 KL.
35%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,231 KL.
45%
Nick Stewart
$1,707 KL.
27%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$7,906 KL.
30%
Rafael Grossi
$5,824 KL.
32%
Marco Rubio
$7,437 KL.
42%
Ishaq Dar
$5,470 KL.
37%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$14,348 KL.
21%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$9,410 KL.
16%
Donald Trump
$59 KL.
12%
Esmail Qaani
$9,064 KL.
13%
Ahmad Vahidi
$2,181 KL.
7%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 KL.
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,171 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$144,713Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$144,713Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations remain stalled amid disputes over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear verification, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum signed remotely by President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Recent technical talks in Switzerland produced limited progress before breaking down, with Iran emphasizing Oman-mediated channels and denying plans for direct high-level engagement, while Trump asserts ongoing discussions and sets informal deadlines. A fragile ceasefire faces expiration risks, and mediators from Pakistan and Qatar continue facilitation efforts. Any new round by year-end would likely involve senior US officials such as Vice President JD Vance or State Department representatives alongside Iranian counterparts, contingent on breakthroughs in asset releases or blockade adjustments; prolonged deadlock could favor indirect formats or third-party venues instead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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