President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, has driven trader consensus to 100% probability on that outcome amid discussions on trade tensions, Taiwan, Iran conflict, and economic cooperation, marking the year's most prominent diplomatic engagement. High implied probabilities for Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (88%) and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (71%) reflect scheduled or anticipated interactions, while UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer sits at 70% based on alliance priorities. Earlier 2026 meetings included King Charles III in April and Colombian President Gustavo Petro in February; upcoming G7 summit in June, G20 in Miami, and November midterms could catalyze further foreign leader encounters, with volumes exceeding $465,000 signaling active trader interest in U.S. foreign policy trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$476,805 KL.
Xi Jinping
100%
Giorgia Meloni
86%
Keir Starmer
75%
Mohammed bin Salman
73%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
47%
Vladimir Putin
47%
Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%
Pope Leo XIV
21%
Changpeng Zhao
19%
Kim Jong Un
17%
MrBeast
17%
Nick Fuentes
10%
iShowSpeed
10%
Jair Bolsonaro
10%
Nicolás Maduro
10%
Lai Ching-te
8%
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%
$476,805 KL.
Xi Jinping
100%
Giorgia Meloni
86%
Keir Starmer
75%
Mohammed bin Salman
73%
Ahmed al-Sharaa
47%
Vladimir Putin
47%
Aleksandr Lukashenko
43%
Pope Leo XIV
21%
Changpeng Zhao
19%
Kim Jong Un
17%
MrBeast
17%
Nick Fuentes
10%
iShowSpeed
10%
Jair Bolsonaro
10%
Nicolás Maduro
10%
Lai Ching-te
8%
Yoon Suk Yeol
6%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's state visit to Beijing, arriving May 13 for a bilateral summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, has driven trader consensus to 100% probability on that outcome amid discussions on trade tensions, Taiwan, Iran conflict, and economic cooperation, marking the year's most prominent diplomatic engagement. High implied probabilities for Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (88%) and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (71%) reflect scheduled or anticipated interactions, while UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer sits at 70% based on alliance priorities. Earlier 2026 meetings included King Charles III in April and Colombian President Gustavo Petro in February; upcoming G7 summit in June, G20 in Miami, and November midterms could catalyze further foreign leader encounters, with volumes exceeding $465,000 signaling active trader interest in U.S. foreign policy trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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