Stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February 2026, driven by unresolved territorial claims, Russia's rejection of unconditional ceasefires, and maximalist demands on security guarantees, underpin trader consensus against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing by the end of 2026. Recent statements from Ukrainian military intelligence highlight Moscow's intent to avoid any deal this year, while battlefield operations continue without diplomatic breakthroughs. Earlier 2026 discussions of joint elections and a referendum in May produced no agreement, and Putin has shown little interest in resuming substantive negotiations before early 2027. A rapid ceasefire enabling a vote, major battlefield reversal, or renewed trilateral progress could still shift timelines, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
4% khả năng
$63,521 KL.
$63,521 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
4% khả năng
$63,521 KL.
$63,521 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February 2026, driven by unresolved territorial claims, Russia's rejection of unconditional ceasefires, and maximalist demands on security guarantees, underpin trader consensus against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing by the end of 2026. Recent statements from Ukrainian military intelligence highlight Moscow's intent to avoid any deal this year, while battlefield operations continue without diplomatic breakthroughs. Earlier 2026 discussions of joint elections and a referendum in May produced no agreement, and Putin has shown little interest in resuming substantive negotiations before early 2027. A rapid ceasefire enabling a vote, major battlefield reversal, or renewed trilateral progress could still shift timelines, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$63,521Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February 2026, driven by unresolved territorial claims, Russia's rejection of unconditional ceasefires, and maximalist demands on security guarantees, underpin trader consensus against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing by the end of 2026. Recent statements from Ukrainian military intelligence highlight Moscow's intent to avoid any deal this year, while battlefield operations continue without diplomatic breakthroughs. Earlier 2026 discussions of joint elections and a referendum in May produced no agreement, and Putin has shown little interest in resuming substantive negotiations before early 2027. A rapid ceasefire enabling a vote, major battlefield reversal, or renewed trilateral progress could still shift timelines, though structural barriers remain substantial.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$63,521Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled U.S.-mediated talks since February 2026, driven by unresolved territorial claims, Russia's rejection of unconditional ceasefires, and maximalist demands on security guarantees, underpin trader consensus against a Ukrainian peace referendum passing by the end of 2026. Recent statements from Ukrainian military intelligence highlight Moscow's intent to avoid any deal this year, while battlefield operations continue without diplomatic breakthroughs. Earlier 2026 discussions of joint elections and a referendum in May produced no agreement, and Putin has shown little interest in resuming substantive negotiations before early 2027. A rapid ceasefire enabling a vote, major battlefield reversal, or renewed trilateral progress could still shift timelines, though structural barriers remain substantial.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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