Trilateral talks involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine last occurred in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, ending abruptly after limited progress on prisoner exchanges but no resolution on core territorial or security issues. Negotiations have remained stalled since, with the Kremlin stating in mid-July that no immediate prospects exist for resumption. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signaled renewed diplomatic efforts in the coming weeks following his July meeting with Sergey Lavrov, while Russian officials in mid-August indicated conditional openness to new rounds potentially involving US envoys. Ongoing battlefield dynamics, including Ukrainian long-range strikes and Russian offensive phases, continue to shape incentives for or against direct bilateral or mediated diplomatic contact.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
$518,980 KL.
August 31
10%
September 30
22%
December 31
65%
$518,980 KL.
August 31
10%
September 30
22%
December 31
65%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trilateral talks involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine last occurred in Geneva on February 17–18, 2026, ending abruptly after limited progress on prisoner exchanges but no resolution on core territorial or security issues. Negotiations have remained stalled since, with the Kremlin stating in mid-July that no immediate prospects exist for resumption. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has signaled renewed diplomatic efforts in the coming weeks following his July meeting with Sergey Lavrov, while Russian officials in mid-August indicated conditional openness to new rounds potentially involving US envoys. Ongoing battlefield dynamics, including Ukrainian long-range strikes and Russian offensive phases, continue to shape incentives for or against direct bilateral or mediated diplomatic contact.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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