Trader consensus positions United Russia as the clear frontrunner to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-mandate districts, and administrative resources amid ongoing preparations. Recent VCIOM and FOM polls show the party leading with stable support, while New People has gained in select surveys appealing to younger and middle-class voters frustrated by economic pressures. Kremlin-directed primaries and measures to limit vote fragmentation among other parties underscore procedural edges favoring a continued majority. LDPR and KPRF hold steady but secondary positions in projections, with minimal recent shifts altering the overall competitive landscape.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtĐảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 62%
Những Người Mới (NL) 28.9%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) 5.5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 3.6%
$8,181,890 KL.
$8,181,890 KL.

Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
62%

Những Người Mới (NL)
29%

Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
6%

Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
4%

Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 62%
Những Người Mới (NL) 28.9%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) 5.5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 3.6%
$8,181,890 KL.
$8,181,890 KL.

Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
62%

Những Người Mới (NL)
29%

Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
6%

Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
4%

Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions United Russia as the clear frontrunner to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its incumbency advantages, control of single-mandate districts, and administrative resources amid ongoing preparations. Recent VCIOM and FOM polls show the party leading with stable support, while New People has gained in select surveys appealing to younger and middle-class voters frustrated by economic pressures. Kremlin-directed primaries and measures to limit vote fragmentation among other parties underscore procedural edges favoring a continued majority. LDPR and KPRF hold steady but secondary positions in projections, with minimal recent shifts altering the overall competitive landscape.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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