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icon for Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?
Chính Trị·International Election Props

Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?

icon for Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?
Chính Trị·International Election Props

Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?

Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 100.0%

Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%

Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP) <1%

Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$51,680,550 KL.

Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 100.0%

Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) <1%

Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP) <1%

Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) <1%

Polymarket

$51,680,550 KL.

icon for Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)

Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)

$24,092,291 KL.

100%

icon for Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)

Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)

$3,868,432 KL.

<1%

icon for Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)

Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)

$4,026,532 KL.

<1%

icon for Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)

Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)

$5,582,893 KL.

<1%

icon for Những Người Mới (NL)

Những Người Mới (NL)

$6,052,204 KL.

<1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$3,206,402 KL.

<1%

icon for Civic Platform (GP)

Civic Platform (GP)

$1,411,336 KL.

<1%

icon for Yabloko

Yabloko

$3,440,460 KL.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia's commanding position in the Russian State Duma election stems from preliminary Central Election Commission results showing the party at approximately 57.8% of the party-list vote and leading in 208 of 225 single-member districts, projecting a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. This outcome reflects the tightly managed electoral environment, where opposition parties face registration barriers and the vote occurred amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, with turnout near 57%. Other parties including the Communist Party and LDPR trail far behind but may clear the 5% threshold for limited seats. Only substantial revisions to official tallies, successful legal challenges to results, or unprecedented recounts could shift the allocation, though such developments remain improbable given the scale of the reported margin.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$51,680,550
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Người giải quyết

0x2F5e3684c...

Kết quả đề xuất: Có

Cửa sổ tranh chấp

Cuối cùng

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia's commanding position in the Russian State Duma election stems from preliminary Central Election Commission results showing the party at approximately 57.8% of the party-list vote and leading in 208 of 225 single-member districts, projecting a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. This outcome reflects the tightly managed electoral environment, where opposition parties face registration barriers and the vote occurred amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict, with turnout near 57%. Other parties including the Communist Party and LDPR trail far behind but may clear the 5% threshold for limited seats. Only substantial revisions to official tallies, successful legal challenges to results, or unprecedented recounts could shift the allocation, though such developments remain improbable given the scale of the reported margin.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$51,680,550
Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Người giải quyết

0x2F5e3684c...

Kết quả đề xuất: Có

Cửa sổ tranh chấp

Cuối cùng

Liên quan

icon for Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

99%
icon for Liệu Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga tiếp theo không?

Liệu Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga tiếp theo không?

100%
Có
icon for Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

93%

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 8 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)" ở mức 0%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?" đã tạo $51.7 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jan 7, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?," duyệt 8 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?" là "Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)" ở mức 0%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.