Recent preparations for Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections center on United Russia's institutional advantages in the mixed electoral system, where single-mandate districts and administrative mobilization provide a reliable seat buffer beyond party-list results. Current polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia support between 33% and 52%, reflecting wartime consolidation and incumbency effects that analysts expect to translate into at least a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. Kremlin efforts to recruit war veterans, set turnout targets for primaries, and limit opposition gains through managed competition have reinforced trader expectations for totals in the 310-354 range. The spread among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty over the scale of single-mandate dominance versus any modest erosion in proportional support, with scheduled campaign launch in June and regional trends likely to clarify whether results consolidate near 2021 levels or exceed them.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật340–354 32%
325–339 17%
355+ 15%
310–324 11.5%
$24,534 KL.
$24,534 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
8%
280–294
7%
295–309
18%
310–324
22%
325–339
17%
340–354
32%
355+
21%
340–354 32%
325–339 17%
355+ 15%
310–324 11.5%
$24,534 KL.
$24,534 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
$6,278 KL.
8%
280–294
$2,828 KL.
7%
295–309
$1,601 KL.
18%
310–324
$1,426 KL.
22%
325–339
$1,963 KL.
17%
340–354
$1,499 KL.
32%
355+
$8,939 KL.
21%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent preparations for Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections center on United Russia's institutional advantages in the mixed electoral system, where single-mandate districts and administrative mobilization provide a reliable seat buffer beyond party-list results. Current polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia support between 33% and 52%, reflecting wartime consolidation and incumbency effects that analysts expect to translate into at least a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. Kremlin efforts to recruit war veterans, set turnout targets for primaries, and limit opposition gains through managed competition have reinforced trader expectations for totals in the 310-354 range. The spread among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty over the scale of single-mandate dominance versus any modest erosion in proportional support, with scheduled campaign launch in June and regional trends likely to clarify whether results consolidate near 2021 levels or exceed them.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,534Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Recent preparations for Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections center on United Russia's institutional advantages in the mixed electoral system, where single-mandate districts and administrative mobilization provide a reliable seat buffer beyond party-list results. Current polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia support between 33% and 52%, reflecting wartime consolidation and incumbency effects that analysts expect to translate into at least a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. Kremlin efforts to recruit war veterans, set turnout targets for primaries, and limit opposition gains through managed competition have reinforced trader expectations for totals in the 310-354 range. The spread among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty over the scale of single-mandate dominance versus any modest erosion in proportional support, with scheduled campaign launch in June and regional trends likely to clarify whether results consolidate near 2021 levels or exceed them.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$24,534Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent preparations for Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections center on United Russia's institutional advantages in the mixed electoral system, where single-mandate districts and administrative mobilization provide a reliable seat buffer beyond party-list results. Current polling from VCIOM and FOM places United Russia support between 33% and 52%, reflecting wartime consolidation and incumbency effects that analysts expect to translate into at least a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats. Kremlin efforts to recruit war veterans, set turnout targets for primaries, and limit opposition gains through managed competition have reinforced trader expectations for totals in the 310-354 range. The spread among leading outcomes stems from uncertainty over the scale of single-mandate dominance versus any modest erosion in proportional support, with scheduled campaign launch in June and regional trends likely to clarify whether results consolidate near 2021 levels or exceed them.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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