AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 84%
SPD 16%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$220,303 KL.
$220,303 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
84%
SPD
16%
FDP
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 84%
SPD 16%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$220,303 KL.
$220,303 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$8,307 KL.
84%
SPD
$37,071 KL.
16%
FDP
$50,818 KL.
<1%
CDU
$28,594 KL.
<1%
Grüne
$53,394 KL.
<1%
BSW
$12,545 KL.
<1%
Linke
$9,060 KL.
<1%
FW
$20,514 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$220,303Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Khối lượng
$220,303Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20 vote, with recent surveys from Forsa, Infratest dimap, and INSA placing the party between 34 and 37 percent. This positions it well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 23–26 percent and the CDU at 12–13 percent, reflecting sustained eastern German voter preferences on immigration and economic issues that have held steady since late 2025. The fractured opposition field, including the Left Party and BSW below 12 percent, further limits any single challenger’s path to first place. Traders have priced AfD as the frontrunner at 84 percent implied probability, consistent with the party’s structural advantage in the Landtag contest and the absence of major polling shifts in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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