AfD holds a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026, election, placing it as the frontrunner to win the most seats. Recent surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap show AfD at 35–36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent, with Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained regional support for AfD in eastern states, combined with declining approval for the long-serving SPD–Linke coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties remain at negligible implied probabilities due to their consistently low single-digit or low-teens shares, leaving little realistic path to plurality. Traders appear to price in limited volatility over the final campaign weeks, though turnout shifts or late developments could still influence the final seat distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$452,738 KL.
$452,738 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$452,738 KL.
$452,738 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$77,915 KL.
85%
SPD
$95,141 KL.
16%
Linke
$27,668 KL.
<1%
FW
$36,709 KL.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 KL.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 KL.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 KL.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD holds a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026, election, placing it as the frontrunner to win the most seats. Recent surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap show AfD at 35–36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent, with Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained regional support for AfD in eastern states, combined with declining approval for the long-serving SPD–Linke coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties remain at negligible implied probabilities due to their consistently low single-digit or low-teens shares, leaving little realistic path to plurality. Traders appear to price in limited volatility over the final campaign weeks, though turnout shifts or late developments could still influence the final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$452,738Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD holds a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026, election, placing it as the frontrunner to win the most seats. Recent surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap show AfD at 35–36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent, with Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained regional support for AfD in eastern states, combined with declining approval for the long-serving SPD–Linke coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties remain at negligible implied probabilities due to their consistently low single-digit or low-teens shares, leaving little realistic path to plurality. Traders appear to price in limited volatility over the final campaign weeks, though turnout shifts or late developments could still influence the final seat distribution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Khối lượng
$452,738Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD holds a clear lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag polling ahead of the September 20, 2026, election, placing it as the frontrunner to win the most seats. Recent surveys from INSA and Infratest dimap show AfD at 35–36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28–29 percent, with Linke, CDU, and smaller parties trailing further behind. This positioning stems from sustained regional support for AfD in eastern states, combined with declining approval for the long-serving SPD–Linke coalition under Minister-President Manuela Schwesig. Other parties remain at negligible implied probabilities due to their consistently low single-digit or low-teens shares, leaving little realistic path to plurality. Traders appear to price in limited volatility over the final campaign weeks, though turnout shifts or late developments could still influence the final seat distribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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