Hsu Hsin-ying, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race with an 82.5% implied probability in current trading, reflecting her successful March 2026 primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's long hold on the office since 2001. The Democratic Progressive Party's June 2026 nomination of Jhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang as its candidate accounts for the secondary 17.5% price, amid ongoing party efforts to unify ahead of the November 28 vote. Minor probabilities for other names, including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien, align with limited polling visibility and the two-party dominance typical in county magistrate contests. KMT internal tensions from the primary remain a noted factor that could influence turnout or coalition dynamics in the final months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHsu Hsin-ying 83%
Cheng Chao-fang 16%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Hsin-ying
83%
Cheng Chao-fang
16%
Lin Szu-ming
1%
Chen Chien-hsien
1%
Hsu Hsin-ying 83%
Cheng Chao-fang 16%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Hsin-ying
$2,106 KL.
83%
Cheng Chao-fang
$1,116 KL.
16%
Lin Szu-ming
$280 KL.
1%
Chen Chien-hsien
$280 KL.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race with an 82.5% implied probability in current trading, reflecting her successful March 2026 primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's long hold on the office since 2001. The Democratic Progressive Party's June 2026 nomination of Jhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang as its candidate accounts for the secondary 17.5% price, amid ongoing party efforts to unify ahead of the November 28 vote. Minor probabilities for other names, including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien, align with limited polling visibility and the two-party dominance typical in county magistrate contests. KMT internal tensions from the primary remain a noted factor that could influence turnout or coalition dynamics in the final months.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,783Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race with an 82.5% implied probability in current trading, reflecting her successful March 2026 primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's long hold on the office since 2001. The Democratic Progressive Party's June 2026 nomination of Jhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang as its candidate accounts for the secondary 17.5% price, amid ongoing party efforts to unify ahead of the November 28 vote. Minor probabilities for other names, including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien, align with limited polling visibility and the two-party dominance typical in county magistrate contests. KMT internal tensions from the primary remain a noted factor that could influence turnout or coalition dynamics in the final months.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Khối lượng
$3,783Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hsu Hsin-ying, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting legislator, leads the Hsinchu County magistrate race with an 82.5% implied probability in current trading, reflecting her successful March 2026 primary victory over deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien and the party's long hold on the office since 2001. The Democratic Progressive Party's June 2026 nomination of Jhubei Mayor Cheng Chao-fang as its candidate accounts for the secondary 17.5% price, amid ongoing party efforts to unify ahead of the November 28 vote. Minor probabilities for other names, including Lin Szu-ming and Chen Chien-hsien, align with limited polling visibility and the two-party dominance typical in county magistrate contests. KMT internal tensions from the primary remain a noted factor that could influence turnout or coalition dynamics in the final months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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