Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật120-125m 25%
115-120m 20%
110-115m 12%
125-130m 11%
$22,851 KL.
$22,851 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
3%
85-90m
1%
90-95m
3%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
2%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
25%
125-130m
11%
130m+
11%
120-125m 25%
115-120m 20%
110-115m 12%
125-130m 11%
$22,851 KL.
$22,851 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$572 KL.
3%
85-90m
$587 KL.
1%
90-95m
$1,723 KL.
3%
95-100m
$380 KL.
3%
100-105m
$971 KL.
2%
105-110m
$931 KL.
6%
110-115m
$3,828 KL.
12%
115-120m
$3,958 KL.
20%
120-125m
$7,063 KL.
25%
125-130m
$2,027 KL.
11%
130m+
$812 KL.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$22,851Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Khối lượng
$22,851Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 115-125 million total House votes because midterm turnout has historically fallen in that range when neither party generates exceptional mobilization, and current conditions offer no clear signal for a major departure. Democrats hold a modest generic ballot advantage in recent surveys, paired with stronger performance in 2026 special elections, which could lift participation among the party out of power, yet Republican base enthusiasm around economic and border issues may offset that effect. Redistricting changes in several states and an unusually high number of safe seats further dampen expectations for unusually high overall engagement. The narrow spread between leading ranges reflects uncertainty over final campaign intensity, voter registration trends, and external factors such as economic sentiment or weather that typically influence late-cycle turnout without yet producing decisive separation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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