Trader consensus prices a Democratic win in Michigan's open Senate race at 72.5%, reflecting the party's historical dominance—Republicans last won here in 1994—superior fundraising by primary contenders like Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed, and doubts about GOP frontrunner Mike Rogers following his narrow 2024 defeat. Recent Glengariff Group polling (May 12) shows Rogers edging hypothetical general election matchups by 2–5 points against each Democrat amid high undecideds, while Mitchell Research (May 11) gives El-Sayed a slight Democratic primary lead ahead of the August 4 contest. A mysterious group's $5.3 million ad reservation across key markets adds early spending pressure, underscoring the battleground dynamics in this Trump-won swing state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$111,683 KL.
$111,683 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
73%
Republican
27%
$111,683 KL.
$111,683 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$80,694 KL.
73%
Republican
$30,989 KL.
27%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic win in Michigan's open Senate race at 72.5%, reflecting the party's historical dominance—Republicans last won here in 1994—superior fundraising by primary contenders like Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed, and doubts about GOP frontrunner Mike Rogers following his narrow 2024 defeat. Recent Glengariff Group polling (May 12) shows Rogers edging hypothetical general election matchups by 2–5 points against each Democrat amid high undecideds, while Mitchell Research (May 11) gives El-Sayed a slight Democratic primary lead ahead of the August 4 contest. A mysterious group's $5.3 million ad reservation across key markets adds early spending pressure, underscoring the battleground dynamics in this Trump-won swing state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$111,683Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic win in Michigan's open Senate race at 72.5%, reflecting the party's historical dominance—Republicans last won here in 1994—superior fundraising by primary contenders like Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed, and doubts about GOP frontrunner Mike Rogers following his narrow 2024 defeat. Recent Glengariff Group polling (May 12) shows Rogers edging hypothetical general election matchups by 2–5 points against each Democrat amid high undecideds, while Mitchell Research (May 11) gives El-Sayed a slight Democratic primary lead ahead of the August 4 contest. A mysterious group's $5.3 million ad reservation across key markets adds early spending pressure, underscoring the battleground dynamics in this Trump-won swing state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$111,683Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic win in Michigan's open Senate race at 72.5%, reflecting the party's historical dominance—Republicans last won here in 1994—superior fundraising by primary contenders like Rep. Haley Stevens, Sen. Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed, and doubts about GOP frontrunner Mike Rogers following his narrow 2024 defeat. Recent Glengariff Group polling (May 12) shows Rogers edging hypothetical general election matchups by 2–5 points against each Democrat amid high undecideds, while Mitchell Research (May 11) gives El-Sayed a slight Democratic primary lead ahead of the August 4 contest. A mysterious group's $5.3 million ad reservation across key markets adds early spending pressure, underscoring the battleground dynamics in this Trump-won swing state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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