Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, establishing him as the party’s standard-bearer in the open-seat general election against unopposed Republican nominee and former Rep. Mike Rogers. Traders assign El-Sayed a modest edge, reflecting Democratic efforts at post-primary unity—including joint appearances with party leaders—and the state’s status as a pivotal battleground that could influence Senate control. Rogers benefits from name recognition from his prior congressional tenure and 2024 Senate bid, while early general-election polling remains tight with margins under 3 points in either direction. The race features standard battleground dynamics around turnout, swing voters, and campaign spending in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$319,862 KL.
$319,862 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
57%
Mike Rogers (R)
43%
$319,862 KL.
$319,862 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$162,061 KL.
57%
Mike Rogers (R)
$157,801 KL.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, establishing him as the party’s standard-bearer in the open-seat general election against unopposed Republican nominee and former Rep. Mike Rogers. Traders assign El-Sayed a modest edge, reflecting Democratic efforts at post-primary unity—including joint appearances with party leaders—and the state’s status as a pivotal battleground that could influence Senate control. Rogers benefits from name recognition from his prior congressional tenure and 2024 Senate bid, while early general-election polling remains tight with margins under 3 points in either direction. The race features standard battleground dynamics around turnout, swing voters, and campaign spending in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$319,862Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, establishing him as the party’s standard-bearer in the open-seat general election against unopposed Republican nominee and former Rep. Mike Rogers. Traders assign El-Sayed a modest edge, reflecting Democratic efforts at post-primary unity—including joint appearances with party leaders—and the state’s status as a pivotal battleground that could influence Senate control. Rogers benefits from name recognition from his prior congressional tenure and 2024 Senate bid, while early general-election polling remains tight with margins under 3 points in either direction. The race features standard battleground dynamics around turnout, swing voters, and campaign spending in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$319,862Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, establishing him as the party’s standard-bearer in the open-seat general election against unopposed Republican nominee and former Rep. Mike Rogers. Traders assign El-Sayed a modest edge, reflecting Democratic efforts at post-primary unity—including joint appearances with party leaders—and the state’s status as a pivotal battleground that could influence Senate control. Rogers benefits from name recognition from his prior congressional tenure and 2024 Senate bid, while early general-election polling remains tight with margins under 3 points in either direction. The race features standard battleground dynamics around turnout, swing voters, and campaign spending in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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