Minnesota's consistent Democratic tilt in federal races, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, has positioned the party to defend an open seat through a competitive primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominees leading Republican contenders by 6 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the state's voting patterns and the relative strength of the Democratic bench compared with Republican primary options such as Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Traders' 92% consensus for a Democratic winner aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the seat. A late Republican surge driven by national economic conditions, a divisive Democratic nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in rural districts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$23,149 KL.
$23,149 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
92%
Republican
7%
$23,149 KL.
$23,149 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,428 KL.
92%
Republican
$6,722 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's consistent Democratic tilt in federal races, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, has positioned the party to defend an open seat through a competitive primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominees leading Republican contenders by 6 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the state's voting patterns and the relative strength of the Democratic bench compared with Republican primary options such as Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Traders' 92% consensus for a Democratic winner aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the seat. A late Republican surge driven by national economic conditions, a divisive Democratic nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in rural districts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$23,149Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's consistent Democratic tilt in federal races, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, has positioned the party to defend an open seat through a competitive primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominees leading Republican contenders by 6 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the state's voting patterns and the relative strength of the Democratic bench compared with Republican primary options such as Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Traders' 92% consensus for a Democratic winner aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the seat. A late Republican surge driven by national economic conditions, a divisive Democratic nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in rural districts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$23,149Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's consistent Democratic tilt in federal races, combined with the retirement of incumbent Senator Tina Smith, has positioned the party to defend an open seat through a competitive primary featuring Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan and Representative Angie Craig. Recent polling averages show Democratic nominees leading Republican contenders by 6 to 15 points in head-to-head matchups, reflecting the state's voting patterns and the relative strength of the Democratic bench compared with Republican primary options such as Michele Tafoya and Royce White. Traders' 92% consensus for a Democratic winner aligns with these fundamentals and historical base rates for the seat. A late Republican surge driven by national economic conditions, a divisive Democratic nominee, or unexpected turnout shifts in rural districts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 2026 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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