Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad's commanding 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Donald Trump's district margin in the R+6 leaning Minnesota 1st congressional district, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for a GOP hold. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly matching Finstad's totals—and an early February PPP poll showing him trailing by just 3 points (44%-41%) have elevated the race's competitiveness, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target it and Sabato's Crystal Ball to downgrade from Safe to Likely Republican on May 6. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, odds reflect uncertainty from these catalysts amid Finstad's incumbency advantage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
37%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,041 KL.
61%
Democratic Party
$3,590 KL.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad's commanding 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Donald Trump's district margin in the R+6 leaning Minnesota 1st congressional district, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for a GOP hold. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly matching Finstad's totals—and an early February PPP poll showing him trailing by just 3 points (44%-41%) have elevated the race's competitiveness, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target it and Sabato's Crystal Ball to downgrade from Safe to Likely Republican on May 6. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, odds reflect uncertainty from these catalysts amid Finstad's incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,631Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad's commanding 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Donald Trump's district margin in the R+6 leaning Minnesota 1st congressional district, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for a GOP hold. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly matching Finstad's totals—and an early February PPP poll showing him trailing by just 3 points (44%-41%) have elevated the race's competitiveness, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target it and Sabato's Crystal Ball to downgrade from Safe to Likely Republican on May 6. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, odds reflect uncertainty from these catalysts amid Finstad's incumbency advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,631Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad's commanding 17-point reelection victory in 2024, outperforming Donald Trump's district margin in the R+6 leaning Minnesota 1st congressional district, anchors trader consensus at 60.5% for a GOP hold. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson's strong Q1 2026 fundraising—nearly matching Finstad's totals—and an early February PPP poll showing him trailing by just 3 points (44%-41%) have elevated the race's competitiveness, prompting the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee to target it and Sabato's Crystal Ball to downgrade from Safe to Likely Republican on May 6. With primaries on August 11 and filing deadline June 2, odds reflect uncertainty from these catalysts amid Finstad's incumbency advantage.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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