The MN-02 open seat, vacated by longtime Democratic incumbent Angie Craig’s Senate bid, sits in a D+3 district centered on southern Twin Cities suburbs. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify it as Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns, Democratic primary frontrunner Matt Little’s early DFL endorsement and party infrastructure, and Republican nominee Eric Pratt’s limited name recognition ahead of the August 11 primaries. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural advantages and recent polling averages. A Republican upset would require unusually high turnout among suburban moderates, a late national partisan swing, or unexpected primary volatility that weakens the Democratic standard-bearer before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-02 House Election Winner
$18,717 KL.
$18,717 KL.
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
$18,717 KL.
$18,717 KL.
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The MN-02 open seat, vacated by longtime Democratic incumbent Angie Craig’s Senate bid, sits in a D+3 district centered on southern Twin Cities suburbs. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify it as Likely Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns, Democratic primary frontrunner Matt Little’s early DFL endorsement and party infrastructure, and Republican nominee Eric Pratt’s limited name recognition ahead of the August 11 primaries. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural advantages and recent polling averages. A Republican upset would require unusually high turnout among suburban moderates, a late national partisan swing, or unexpected primary volatility that weakens the Democratic standard-bearer before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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