The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary in a district covering Hampton Roads communities, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive dynamics or major recent developments have reinforced expectations of continuity into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on available evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$43,090 KL.
$43,090 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$43,090 KL.
$43,090 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,441 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$21,649 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary in a district covering Hampton Roads communities, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive dynamics or major recent developments have reinforced expectations of continuity into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,090Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary in a district covering Hampton Roads communities, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive dynamics or major recent developments have reinforced expectations of continuity into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$43,090Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary in a district covering Hampton Roads communities, while the Republican nominee faces limited fundraising and visibility. Historical margins exceeding 30 points and the absence of competitive dynamics or major recent developments have reinforced expectations of continuity into the November 2026 general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on available evidence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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