The open-seat race in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, following incumbent Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement, remains solidly Republican-leaning per trader consensus, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Historical results show consistent GOP victories by double digits, including Amodei's 55%-36% win in 2024 amid Trump carrying the district 56%-42%. No recent polls indicate Democratic viability despite 11 primary contenders like Greg Kidd, who has raised over $560,000. Crowded Republican primary fields—13 candidates led by David Flippo's $1.7 million fundraising—approach the June 9 primaries, reinforcing the district's entrenched GOP advantage absent a major shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNV-02 House Election Winner
$13,676 KL.
$13,676 KL.
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
24%
$13,676 KL.
$13,676 KL.
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
24%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat race in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District, following incumbent Mark Amodei's February retirement announcement, remains solidly Republican-leaning per trader consensus, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Historical results show consistent GOP victories by double digits, including Amodei's 55%-36% win in 2024 amid Trump carrying the district 56%-42%. No recent polls indicate Democratic viability despite 11 primary contenders like Greg Kidd, who has raised over $560,000. Crowded Republican primary fields—13 candidates led by David Flippo's $1.7 million fundraising—approach the June 9 primaries, reinforcing the district's entrenched GOP advantage absent a major shift.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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