Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which confirmed long-serving Republican incumbent Bob Latta—unopposed with 100%—against Democrat Brian Shaver in a fragmented primary win at 28.7%, trader consensus prices a Republican victory in OH-05 at 89.5%. This reflects the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Donald Trump's 61% 2024 margin, and Latta's repeated 67%+ general election wins since 2007. Uniform race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook and Inside Elections, Safe Republican from Sabato—plus Latta's $900,000 cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising underscore significant barriers for Shaver. Absent scandals or a national wave, the November 3 general election favors GOP retention.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-05 House Election Winner
OH-05 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$432 KL.
90%
Democratic Party
$2,837 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which confirmed long-serving Republican incumbent Bob Latta—unopposed with 100%—against Democrat Brian Shaver in a fragmented primary win at 28.7%, trader consensus prices a Republican victory in OH-05 at 89.5%. This reflects the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Donald Trump's 61% 2024 margin, and Latta's repeated 67%+ general election wins since 2007. Uniform race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook and Inside Elections, Safe Republican from Sabato—plus Latta's $900,000 cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising underscore significant barriers for Shaver. Absent scandals or a national wave, the November 3 general election favors GOP retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,269Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which confirmed long-serving Republican incumbent Bob Latta—unopposed with 100%—against Democrat Brian Shaver in a fragmented primary win at 28.7%, trader consensus prices a Republican victory in OH-05 at 89.5%. This reflects the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Donald Trump's 61% 2024 margin, and Latta's repeated 67%+ general election wins since 2007. Uniform race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook and Inside Elections, Safe Republican from Sabato—plus Latta's $900,000 cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising underscore significant barriers for Shaver. Absent scandals or a national wave, the November 3 general election favors GOP retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$3,269Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following Ohio's May 5 primaries, which confirmed long-serving Republican incumbent Bob Latta—unopposed with 100%—against Democrat Brian Shaver in a fragmented primary win at 28.7%, trader consensus prices a Republican victory in OH-05 at 89.5%. This reflects the district's R+14 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Donald Trump's 61% 2024 margin, and Latta's repeated 67%+ general election wins since 2007. Uniform race ratings—Solid Republican from Cook and Inside Elections, Safe Republican from Sabato—plus Latta's $900,000 cash-on-hand versus Democrats' minimal fundraising underscore significant barriers for Shaver. Absent scandals or a national wave, the November 3 general election favors GOP retention.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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