Incumbent Rep. Jim Jordan (R) secured the Republican nomination in the May 5 Ohio primary for the safely Republican 4th Congressional District, facing Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski, a low-profile business owner with minimal fundraising through April. Trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 92.5% reflects the district's deep GOP tilt under Ohio's redrawn 2025 maps—historically delivering Jordan landslide margins above 60%—combined with no viable Democratic challenge or recent polling to suggest upset potential. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. While commanding, odds could shift via unforeseen scandal, Jordan health issues, retirement announcement, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOH-04 House Election Winner
OH-04 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,821 KL.
93%
Democratic Party
$2,079 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Jordan (R) secured the Republican nomination in the May 5 Ohio primary for the safely Republican 4th Congressional District, facing Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski, a low-profile business owner with minimal fundraising through April. Trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 92.5% reflects the district's deep GOP tilt under Ohio's redrawn 2025 maps—historically delivering Jordan landslide margins above 60%—combined with no viable Democratic challenge or recent polling to suggest upset potential. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. While commanding, odds could shift via unforeseen scandal, Jordan health issues, retirement announcement, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Jordan (R) secured the Republican nomination in the May 5 Ohio primary for the safely Republican 4th Congressional District, facing Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski, a low-profile business owner with minimal fundraising through April. Trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 92.5% reflects the district's deep GOP tilt under Ohio's redrawn 2025 maps—historically delivering Jordan landslide margins above 60%—combined with no viable Democratic challenge or recent polling to suggest upset potential. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. While commanding, odds could shift via unforeseen scandal, Jordan health issues, retirement announcement, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jim Jordan (R) secured the Republican nomination in the May 5 Ohio primary for the safely Republican 4th Congressional District, facing Democratic nominee Joshua Kolasinski, a low-profile business owner with minimal fundraising through April. Trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 92.5% reflects the district's deep GOP tilt under Ohio's redrawn 2025 maps—historically delivering Jordan landslide margins above 60%—combined with no viable Democratic challenge or recent polling to suggest upset potential. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. While commanding, odds could shift via unforeseen scandal, Jordan health issues, retirement announcement, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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