Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican following Fitzgerald’s 2024 reelection with 64 percent of the vote. The August primaries concluded without surprises, leaving the Republican nominee unchallenged in a district anchored by suburban Milwaukee counties. Trader consensus at 93.7 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and fundraising edge. A national Democratic wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-05 House Election Winner
WI-05 House Election Winner
$54,801 KL.
$54,801 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$54,801 KL.
$54,801 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$30,539 KL.
94%
Democratic Party
$24,262 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican following Fitzgerald’s 2024 reelection with 64 percent of the vote. The August primaries concluded without surprises, leaving the Republican nominee unchallenged in a district anchored by suburban Milwaukee counties. Trader consensus at 93.7 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and fundraising edge. A national Democratic wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$54,801Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican following Fitzgerald’s 2024 reelection with 64 percent of the vote. The August primaries concluded without surprises, leaving the Republican nominee unchallenged in a district anchored by suburban Milwaukee counties. Trader consensus at 93.7 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and fundraising edge. A national Democratic wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$54,801Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Fitzgerald faces Democrat Andrew Beck in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district, which carries an R+11 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican following Fitzgerald’s 2024 reelection with 64 percent of the vote. The August primaries concluded without surprises, leaving the Republican nominee unchallenged in a district anchored by suburban Milwaukee counties. Trader consensus at 93.7 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage, incumbency, and fundraising edge. A national Democratic wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts of this lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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