Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to the Republican Party retaining Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in a solidly Republican seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, citing insufficient leftward shifts in Milwaukee suburbs to endanger Fitzgerald despite modest trends. Democratic challengers like Ben Steinhoff and Andy Beck have announced bids, but fragmented primaries, absent polling, and limited fundraising leave little path to competitiveness ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered this entrenched positioning, with upcoming legislative votes offering minor visibility but low market impact.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-05 House Election Winner
WI-05 House Election Winner
$13,123 KL.
$13,123 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
14%
$13,123 KL.
$13,123 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,723 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$3,400 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to the Republican Party retaining Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in a solidly Republican seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, citing insufficient leftward shifts in Milwaukee suburbs to endanger Fitzgerald despite modest trends. Democratic challengers like Ben Steinhoff and Andy Beck have announced bids, but fragmented primaries, absent polling, and limited fundraising leave little path to competitiveness ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered this entrenched positioning, with upcoming legislative votes offering minor visibility but low market impact.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,123Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to the Republican Party retaining Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in a solidly Republican seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, citing insufficient leftward shifts in Milwaukee suburbs to endanger Fitzgerald despite modest trends. Democratic challengers like Ben Steinhoff and Andy Beck have announced bids, but fragmented primaries, absent polling, and limited fundraising leave little path to competitiveness ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered this entrenched positioning, with upcoming legislative votes offering minor visibility but low market impact.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,123Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns an 84% implied probability to the Republican Party retaining Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, anchored by incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's strong reelection bid in a solidly Republican seat with an R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, citing insufficient leftward shifts in Milwaukee suburbs to endanger Fitzgerald despite modest trends. Democratic challengers like Ben Steinhoff and Andy Beck have announced bids, but fragmented primaries, absent polling, and limited fundraising leave little path to competitiveness ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries. No significant developments in the past 30 days have altered this entrenched positioning, with upcoming legislative votes offering minor visibility but low market impact.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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