Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore’s long-standing hold on Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District, which covers Milwaukee and its working-class and suburban areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The August 11 primary produced standard nominees—Moore for Democrats and Tim Rogers for Republicans—without notable upsets or shifts in the district’s partisan composition. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce expectations of continued Democratic dominance. Only an extraordinary late-cycle event, such as an incumbent withdrawal or unprecedented national realignment, would plausibly alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$33,516 KL.
$33,516 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$33,516 KL.
$33,516 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,352 KL.
98%
Republican Party
$21,164 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore’s long-standing hold on Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District, which covers Milwaukee and its working-class and suburban areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The August 11 primary produced standard nominees—Moore for Democrats and Tim Rogers for Republicans—without notable upsets or shifts in the district’s partisan composition. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce expectations of continued Democratic dominance. Only an extraordinary late-cycle event, such as an incumbent withdrawal or unprecedented national realignment, would plausibly alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$33,516Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore’s long-standing hold on Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District, which covers Milwaukee and its working-class and suburban areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The August 11 primary produced standard nominees—Moore for Democrats and Tim Rogers for Republicans—without notable upsets or shifts in the district’s partisan composition. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce expectations of continued Democratic dominance. Only an extraordinary late-cycle event, such as an incumbent withdrawal or unprecedented national realignment, would plausibly alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$33,516Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gwen Moore’s long-standing hold on Wisconsin’s 4th Congressional District, which covers Milwaukee and its working-class and suburban areas, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat delivered Moore roughly 75 percent of the vote in 2024, and recent nonpartisan ratings classify it as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. The August 11 primary produced standard nominees—Moore for Democrats and Tim Rogers for Republicans—without notable upsets or shifts in the district’s partisan composition. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments reinforce expectations of continued Democratic dominance. Only an extraordinary late-cycle event, such as an incumbent withdrawal or unprecedented national realignment, would plausibly alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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