Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), Wisconsin's longest-serving House member, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the WI-04 House race, anchored by the district's D+26 partisan voter index and her history of 70%+ general election margins, including 74.8% in 2024. With the June 1 filing deadline approaching and August 11 primaries ahead, Moore faces low-fundraising Democratic primary challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republicans have only Purnima Nath, a prior primary loser with no receipts reported. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a Moore scandal, primary loss, health issues, or an unforeseen strong GOP recruit amid a national Republican wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$19,230 KL.
$19,230 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$19,230 KL.
$19,230 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,971 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$13,259 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), Wisconsin's longest-serving House member, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the WI-04 House race, anchored by the district's D+26 partisan voter index and her history of 70%+ general election margins, including 74.8% in 2024. With the June 1 filing deadline approaching and August 11 primaries ahead, Moore faces low-fundraising Democratic primary challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republicans have only Purnima Nath, a prior primary loser with no receipts reported. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a Moore scandal, primary loss, health issues, or an unforeseen strong GOP recruit amid a national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,230Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), Wisconsin's longest-serving House member, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the WI-04 House race, anchored by the district's D+26 partisan voter index and her history of 70%+ general election margins, including 74.8% in 2024. With the June 1 filing deadline approaching and August 11 primaries ahead, Moore faces low-fundraising Democratic primary challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republicans have only Purnima Nath, a prior primary loser with no receipts reported. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a Moore scandal, primary loss, health issues, or an unforeseen strong GOP recruit amid a national Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$19,230Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Gwen Moore (D), Wisconsin's longest-serving House member, drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% in the WI-04 House race, anchored by the district's D+26 partisan voter index and her history of 70%+ general election margins, including 74.8% in 2024. With the June 1 filing deadline approaching and August 11 primaries ahead, Moore faces low-fundraising Democratic primary challengers Amy Donahue and Asher Smale, while Republicans have only Purnima Nath, a prior primary loser with no receipts reported. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Upsets could stem from a Moore scandal, primary loss, health issues, or an unforeseen strong GOP recruit amid a national Republican wave.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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