Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting modest Arab voter turnout expectations and the list’s limited appeal beyond its core base amid broader bloc competition. The recent surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am aims to minimize wasted votes and could push totals toward the upper end of that band, supporting trader emphasis on the 8–9 seat outcome. Disqualification petitions filed against the list introduce downside risk, while internal Arab party dynamics and competition from other slates cap upside potential. Overall political deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs has not materially shifted Arab-list projections in recent surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8-9 42%
<6 21%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6
21%
6-7
20%
8-9
42%
10-11
18%
12+
3%
8-9 42%
<6 21%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$281 KL.
21%
6-7
$216 KL.
20%
8-9
$1,702 KL.
42%
10-11
$275 KL.
18%
12+
$360 KL.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting modest Arab voter turnout expectations and the list’s limited appeal beyond its core base amid broader bloc competition. The recent surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am aims to minimize wasted votes and could push totals toward the upper end of that band, supporting trader emphasis on the 8–9 seat outcome. Disqualification petitions filed against the list introduce downside risk, while internal Arab party dynamics and competition from other slates cap upside potential. Overall political deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs has not materially shifted Arab-list projections in recent surveys.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,833Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting modest Arab voter turnout expectations and the list’s limited appeal beyond its core base amid broader bloc competition. The recent surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am aims to minimize wasted votes and could push totals toward the upper end of that band, supporting trader emphasis on the 8–9 seat outcome. Disqualification petitions filed against the list introduce downside risk, while internal Arab party dynamics and competition from other slates cap upside potential. Overall political deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs has not materially shifted Arab-list projections in recent surveys.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$2,833Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting modest Arab voter turnout expectations and the list’s limited appeal beyond its core base amid broader bloc competition. The recent surplus-vote agreement with Ra’am aims to minimize wasted votes and could push totals toward the upper end of that band, supporting trader emphasis on the 8–9 seat outcome. Disqualification petitions filed against the list introduce downside risk, while internal Arab party dynamics and competition from other slates cap upside potential. Overall political deadlock between the Netanyahu-aligned and opposition blocs has not materially shifted Arab-list projections in recent surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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