Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland at 37% implied probability to be the next country to formally join the Abraham Accords before year-end 2026, reflecting Israel's April diplomatic envoy to the Horn of Africa and public statements linking normalization to prospective US recognition, despite African Union opposition to Somaliland's sovereignty claims. No new formal signings have occurred since Kazakhstan's official accession in November 2025, stalling Saudi Arabia amid demands for Palestinian statehood progress, domestic opposition, and reported Iran non-aggression overtures. Azerbaijan, Lebanon, Kuwait, Oman, and Syria trail below 20%, with heightened Iran tensions and recent Israel-UAE Iron Dome defense transfers underscoring strategic incentives, while upcoming Gulf summits and US recognition decisions could catalyze breakthroughs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtQuốc gia nào sẽ tham gia Hiệp định Abraham trước năm 2027?
Quốc gia nào sẽ tham gia Hiệp định Abraham trước năm 2027?
$567,135 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Somaliland
37%
Azerbaijan
20%
Kuwait
15%
Liban
15%
Oman
13%
Ả Rập Xê Út
13%
Syria
12%
$567,135 KL.
Somaliland
$61,672 KL.
37%
Azerbaijan
$43,147 KL.
20%
Kuwait
$22,614 KL.
15%
Liban
$58,017 KL.
15%
Oman
$145,328 KL.
13%
Ả Rập Xê Út
$89,001 KL.
13%
Syria
$147,356 KL.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland at 37% implied probability to be the next country to formally join the Abraham Accords before year-end 2026, reflecting Israel's April diplomatic envoy to the Horn of Africa and public statements linking normalization to prospective US recognition, despite African Union opposition to Somaliland's sovereignty claims. No new formal signings have occurred since Kazakhstan's official accession in November 2025, stalling Saudi Arabia amid demands for Palestinian statehood progress, domestic opposition, and reported Iran non-aggression overtures. Azerbaijan, Lebanon, Kuwait, Oman, and Syria trail below 20%, with heightened Iran tensions and recent Israel-UAE Iron Dome defense transfers underscoring strategic incentives, while upcoming Gulf summits and US recognition decisions could catalyze breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$567,135Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland at 37% implied probability to be the next country to formally join the Abraham Accords before year-end 2026, reflecting Israel's April diplomatic envoy to the Horn of Africa and public statements linking normalization to prospective US recognition, despite African Union opposition to Somaliland's sovereignty claims. No new formal signings have occurred since Kazakhstan's official accession in November 2025, stalling Saudi Arabia amid demands for Palestinian statehood progress, domestic opposition, and reported Iran non-aggression overtures. Azerbaijan, Lebanon, Kuwait, Oman, and Syria trail below 20%, with heightened Iran tensions and recent Israel-UAE Iron Dome defense transfers underscoring strategic incentives, while upcoming Gulf summits and US recognition decisions could catalyze breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$567,135Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Somaliland at 37% implied probability to be the next country to formally join the Abraham Accords before year-end 2026, reflecting Israel's April diplomatic envoy to the Horn of Africa and public statements linking normalization to prospective US recognition, despite African Union opposition to Somaliland's sovereignty claims. No new formal signings have occurred since Kazakhstan's official accession in November 2025, stalling Saudi Arabia amid demands for Palestinian statehood progress, domestic opposition, and reported Iran non-aggression overtures. Azerbaijan, Lebanon, Kuwait, Oman, and Syria trail below 20%, with heightened Iran tensions and recent Israel-UAE Iron Dome defense transfers underscoring strategic incentives, while upcoming Gulf summits and US recognition decisions could catalyze breakthroughs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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