Despite U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026, igniting the ongoing conflict, Congress has not formally declared war, with recent House votes rejecting related War Powers Resolution measures amid President Trump's May 1 notification that hostilities have terminated under the 60-day limit. A Pakistan-mediated two-week ceasefire holds tenuously since April 8, but Iranian restoration of missile capabilities and U.S. retaliatory strikes on May 7, coupled with new sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, sustain escalation risks. Yesterday, a top U.S. admiral testified that strikes severely degraded Iran's military defenses, while Tehran outlined preconditions for resuming peace talks. Traders watch fragile negotiations and potential Strait of Hormuz clashes, as formal declarations remain rare post-World War II.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiệu Mỹ có chính thức tuyên chiến với Iran vào...?
Liệu Mỹ có chính thức tuyên chiến với Iran vào...?
$7,521,715 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
8%
$7,521,715 KL.
31 tháng 12
$549,081 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026, igniting the ongoing conflict, Congress has not formally declared war, with recent House votes rejecting related War Powers Resolution measures amid President Trump's May 1 notification that hostilities have terminated under the 60-day limit. A Pakistan-mediated two-week ceasefire holds tenuously since April 8, but Iranian restoration of missile capabilities and U.S. retaliatory strikes on May 7, coupled with new sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, sustain escalation risks. Yesterday, a top U.S. admiral testified that strikes severely degraded Iran's military defenses, while Tehran outlined preconditions for resuming peace talks. Traders watch fragile negotiations and potential Strait of Hormuz clashes, as formal declarations remain rare post-World War II.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,521,715Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026, igniting the ongoing conflict, Congress has not formally declared war, with recent House votes rejecting related War Powers Resolution measures amid President Trump's May 1 notification that hostilities have terminated under the 60-day limit. A Pakistan-mediated two-week ceasefire holds tenuously since April 8, but Iranian restoration of missile capabilities and U.S. retaliatory strikes on May 7, coupled with new sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, sustain escalation risks. Yesterday, a top U.S. admiral testified that strikes severely degraded Iran's military defenses, while Tehran outlined preconditions for resuming peace talks. Traders watch fragile negotiations and potential Strait of Hormuz clashes, as formal declarations remain rare post-World War II.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$7,521,715Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since February 28, 2026, igniting the ongoing conflict, Congress has not formally declared war, with recent House votes rejecting related War Powers Resolution measures amid President Trump's May 1 notification that hostilities have terminated under the 60-day limit. A Pakistan-mediated two-week ceasefire holds tenuously since April 8, but Iranian restoration of missile capabilities and U.S. retaliatory strikes on May 7, coupled with new sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, sustain escalation risks. Yesterday, a top U.S. admiral testified that strikes severely degraded Iran's military defenses, while Tehran outlined preconditions for resuming peace talks. Traders watch fragile negotiations and potential Strait of Hormuz clashes, as formal declarations remain rare post-World War II.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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