The US administration has repeatedly opposed any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway, while emphasizing free navigation under longstanding maritime principles. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement fee for US security services before reversing course days later in favor of Gulf state investments in the United States. This followed the June US-Iran MOU establishing a 60-day toll-free period and deferring longer-term administration to talks involving Iran, Oman, and other Gulf states. Negotiations remain unresolved amid competing Iranian proposals for service fees and US insistence on no charges, with trader consensus pricing low odds of US collection by year-end due to legal, diplomatic, and policy consistency barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$983,340 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$983,340 KL.
December 31
$115,036 KL.
6%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US administration has repeatedly opposed any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway, while emphasizing free navigation under longstanding maritime principles. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement fee for US security services before reversing course days later in favor of Gulf state investments in the United States. This followed the June US-Iran MOU establishing a 60-day toll-free period and deferring longer-term administration to talks involving Iran, Oman, and other Gulf states. Negotiations remain unresolved amid competing Iranian proposals for service fees and US insistence on no charges, with trader consensus pricing low odds of US collection by year-end due to legal, diplomatic, and policy consistency barriers.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$983,340Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US administration has repeatedly opposed any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway, while emphasizing free navigation under longstanding maritime principles. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement fee for US security services before reversing course days later in favor of Gulf state investments in the United States. This followed the June US-Iran MOU establishing a 60-day toll-free period and deferring longer-term administration to talks involving Iran, Oman, and other Gulf states. Negotiations remain unresolved amid competing Iranian proposals for service fees and US insistence on no charges, with trader consensus pricing low odds of US collection by year-end due to legal, diplomatic, and policy consistency barriers.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$983,340Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The US administration has repeatedly opposed any tolls or fees on the Strait of Hormuz, an international waterway, while emphasizing free navigation under longstanding maritime principles. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated a 20% cargo reimbursement fee for US security services before reversing course days later in favor of Gulf state investments in the United States. This followed the June US-Iran MOU establishing a 60-day toll-free period and deferring longer-term administration to talks involving Iran, Oman, and other Gulf states. Negotiations remain unresolved amid competing Iranian proposals for service fees and US insistence on no charges, with trader consensus pricing low odds of US collection by year-end due to legal, diplomatic, and policy consistency barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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