**As of mid-2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving roughly 29 holdouts—primarily Arab League and OIC members such as Algeria, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, and Yemen, along with Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela.** Recent momentum stems from the Abraham Accords framework, including Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland (with reciprocal pledges), but no additional holdout states have extended formal recognition. Saudi Arabia and others continue to link any normalization to Palestinian statehood progress, while U.S. diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration seek to tie further expansions to regional security deals, including potential Iran-related talks. These dynamics, alongside persistent regional tensions, shape trader assessments of which specific countries might cross the threshold before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
$66,198 KL.

North Korea
5%

Cuba
11%

Syria
11%

Bangladesh
9%

Saudi Arabia
11%

Lebanon
18%

Afghanistan
7%

Qatar
11%

Iraq
7%

Pakistan
6%

Venezuela
22%

Tunisia
7%

Kuwait
10%

Indonesia
12%

Malaysia
5%

Iran
9%
$66,198 KL.

North Korea
5%

Cuba
11%

Syria
11%

Bangladesh
9%

Saudi Arabia
11%

Lebanon
18%

Afghanistan
7%

Qatar
11%

Iraq
7%

Pakistan
6%

Venezuela
22%

Tunisia
7%

Kuwait
10%

Indonesia
12%

Malaysia
5%

Iran
9%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**As of mid-2026, 163 UN member states recognize Israel, leaving roughly 29 holdouts—primarily Arab League and OIC members such as Algeria, Indonesia, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Malaysia, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, and Yemen, along with Cuba, North Korea, and Venezuela.** Recent momentum stems from the Abraham Accords framework, including Kazakhstan’s 2025 accession and Israel’s December 2025 recognition of Somaliland (with reciprocal pledges), but no additional holdout states have extended formal recognition. Saudi Arabia and others continue to link any normalization to Palestinian statehood progress, while U.S. diplomatic efforts under the Trump administration seek to tie further expansions to regional security deals, including potential Iran-related talks. These dynamics, alongside persistent regional tensions, shape trader assessments of which specific countries might cross the threshold before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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