Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid regional conflicts, yet few countries have taken the step of formally expelling Israeli ambassadors since early 2026. South Africa's January expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires prompted a reciprocal move but remained an isolated case. Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Israel reflected protest over policy differences without targeting Israel's representative. Iranian incentives in March for Arab and European states to act similarly produced no follow-through expulsions. Parliamentary calls in places like the UK and Jordan have not translated into government action. With the year more than halfway complete and no broader wave of diplomatic ruptures, traders assign an 86.5% probability that no additional country will expel an Israeli ambassador before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
15% khả năng
$39,642 KL.
$39,642 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
15% khả năng
$39,642 KL.
$39,642 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid regional conflicts, yet few countries have taken the step of formally expelling Israeli ambassadors since early 2026. South Africa's January expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires prompted a reciprocal move but remained an isolated case. Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Israel reflected protest over policy differences without targeting Israel's representative. Iranian incentives in March for Arab and European states to act similarly produced no follow-through expulsions. Parliamentary calls in places like the UK and Jordan have not translated into government action. With the year more than halfway complete and no broader wave of diplomatic ruptures, traders assign an 86.5% probability that no additional country will expel an Israeli ambassador before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$39,642Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid regional conflicts, yet few countries have taken the step of formally expelling Israeli ambassadors since early 2026. South Africa's January expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires prompted a reciprocal move but remained an isolated case. Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Israel reflected protest over policy differences without targeting Israel's representative. Iranian incentives in March for Arab and European states to act similarly produced no follow-through expulsions. Parliamentary calls in places like the UK and Jordan have not translated into government action. With the year more than halfway complete and no broader wave of diplomatic ruptures, traders assign an 86.5% probability that no additional country will expel an Israeli ambassador before December 31.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$39,642Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic tensions with Israel have persisted amid regional conflicts, yet few countries have taken the step of formally expelling Israeli ambassadors since early 2026. South Africa's January expulsion of Israel's chargé d'affaires prompted a reciprocal move but remained an isolated case. Spain's March recall of its own envoy to Israel reflected protest over policy differences without targeting Israel's representative. Iranian incentives in March for Arab and European states to act similarly produced no follow-through expulsions. Parliamentary calls in places like the UK and Jordan have not translated into government action. With the year more than halfway complete and no broader wave of diplomatic ruptures, traders assign an 86.5% probability that no additional country will expel an Israeli ambassador before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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