Persistent hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the direct military conflict that erupted in late February 2026 with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, have reinforced the absence of formal diplomatic ties since the 1979 revolution. Recent developments, such as the U.S. rejection of Iranian proposals in May and repeated violations of fragile ceasefires amid ongoing airstrikes, have eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an 89.5 percent probability against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by December 31, 2026, reflecting the structural barriers of active armed conflict and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process that could enable such a step within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
$51,774 KL.
$51,774 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$51,774 KL.
$51,774 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the direct military conflict that erupted in late February 2026 with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, have reinforced the absence of formal diplomatic ties since the 1979 revolution. Recent developments, such as the U.S. rejection of Iranian proposals in May and repeated violations of fragile ceasefires amid ongoing airstrikes, have eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an 89.5 percent probability against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by December 31, 2026, reflecting the structural barriers of active armed conflict and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process that could enable such a step within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51,774Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the direct military conflict that erupted in late February 2026 with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, have reinforced the absence of formal diplomatic ties since the 1979 revolution. Recent developments, such as the U.S. rejection of Iranian proposals in May and repeated violations of fragile ceasefires amid ongoing airstrikes, have eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an 89.5 percent probability against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by December 31, 2026, reflecting the structural barriers of active armed conflict and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process that could enable such a step within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$51,774Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent hostilities between Israel and Iran, including the direct military conflict that erupted in late February 2026 with U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, have reinforced the absence of formal diplomatic ties since the 1979 revolution. Recent developments, such as the U.S. rejection of Iranian proposals in May and repeated violations of fragile ceasefires amid ongoing airstrikes, have eliminated near-term signals of normalization. Traders price an 89.5 percent probability against an Israeli embassy reopening in Tehran by December 31, 2026, reflecting the structural barriers of active armed conflict and the absence of any bilateral diplomatic process that could enable such a step within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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