Israeli forces advanced north of the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing positions including Beaufort Castle and issuing evacuation orders toward the Zahrani River during operations against Hezbollah infrastructure. In early June, U.S.-mediated talks produced a conditional ceasefire framework under which Israel would withdraw from occupied areas in southern Lebanon in parallel with Hezbollah's full evacuation south of the Litani and a complete halt to attacks, enabling Lebanese army control in designated pilot zones. Hezbollah rejected the terms, while Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri endorsed parallel withdrawals. Israel has continued strikes and maintained positions, with further bilateral talks scheduled for the week of June 22. These diplomatic and military developments directly shape trader assessments of withdrawal timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIsraeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
June 15
6%
June 30
13%
$4,644 KL.
June 15
$433 KL.
6%
June 30
$4,211 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced north of the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing positions including Beaufort Castle and issuing evacuation orders toward the Zahrani River during operations against Hezbollah infrastructure. In early June, U.S.-mediated talks produced a conditional ceasefire framework under which Israel would withdraw from occupied areas in southern Lebanon in parallel with Hezbollah's full evacuation south of the Litani and a complete halt to attacks, enabling Lebanese army control in designated pilot zones. Hezbollah rejected the terms, while Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri endorsed parallel withdrawals. Israel has continued strikes and maintained positions, with further bilateral talks scheduled for the week of June 22. These diplomatic and military developments directly shape trader assessments of withdrawal timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,644Thị trường mở
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces advanced north of the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing positions including Beaufort Castle and issuing evacuation orders toward the Zahrani River during operations against Hezbollah infrastructure. In early June, U.S.-mediated talks produced a conditional ceasefire framework under which Israel would withdraw from occupied areas in southern Lebanon in parallel with Hezbollah's full evacuation south of the Litani and a complete halt to attacks, enabling Lebanese army control in designated pilot zones. Hezbollah rejected the terms, while Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri endorsed parallel withdrawals. Israel has continued strikes and maintained positions, with further bilateral talks scheduled for the week of June 22. These diplomatic and military developments directly shape trader assessments of withdrawal timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Khối lượng
$4,644Thị trường mở
Jun 7, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces advanced north of the Litani River in late May 2026, capturing positions including Beaufort Castle and issuing evacuation orders toward the Zahrani River during operations against Hezbollah infrastructure. In early June, U.S.-mediated talks produced a conditional ceasefire framework under which Israel would withdraw from occupied areas in southern Lebanon in parallel with Hezbollah's full evacuation south of the Litani and a complete halt to attacks, enabling Lebanese army control in designated pilot zones. Hezbollah rejected the terms, while Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri endorsed parallel withdrawals. Israel has continued strikes and maintained positions, with further bilateral talks scheduled for the week of June 22. These diplomatic and military developments directly shape trader assessments of withdrawal timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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