Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that links any Israeli withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces assumption of control in designated pilot zones north and south of the river. The security annex conditions further redeployments on measurable results rather than fixed timelines, reflecting Israeli concerns over Hezbollah rebuilding capabilities. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that the war is not over and that forces will maintain forward positions south of the Litani until Hezbollah is removed and the LAF demonstrates greater effectiveness. Recent incidents, including Israeli forces assuming control of a Lebanese army site near Deir Mimas, underscore ongoing operational activity and limited progress on the pilot zones. Trader pricing for near-term resolution dates remains low, consistent with these conditions-based requirements and persistent security frictions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,367,212 KL.
September 30
1%
March 31
48%
October 31
6%
December 31
14%
$1,367,212 KL.
September 30
1%
March 31
48%
October 31
6%
December 31
14%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that links any Israeli withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces assumption of control in designated pilot zones north and south of the river. The security annex conditions further redeployments on measurable results rather than fixed timelines, reflecting Israeli concerns over Hezbollah rebuilding capabilities. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that the war is not over and that forces will maintain forward positions south of the Litani until Hezbollah is removed and the LAF demonstrates greater effectiveness. Recent incidents, including Israeli forces assuming control of a Lebanese army site near Deir Mimas, underscore ongoing operational activity and limited progress on the pilot zones. Trader pricing for near-term resolution dates remains low, consistent with these conditions-based requirements and persistent security frictions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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