Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated authority as Syria’s interim president since his January 2025 appointment following the December 2024 fall of Bashar al-Assad, securing international sanctions relief from the United States and United Nations Security Council along with high-level diplomatic engagement including multiple meetings with U.S. President Donald Trump. A March 2025 constitutional declaration established a five-year transitional period with scheduled parliamentary steps and eventual national elections, while recent months have featured continued territorial stabilization, government reshuffles, and efforts to address economic pressures and sectarian tensions without major challenges to his leadership. Traders assign an 87.5% probability that he remains in office through December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of credible removal mechanisms or imminent opposition within the current transition timeline.