The January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro from direct power has left Venezuela's Chavista institutions largely intact, with the Supreme Court appointing Delcy Rodríguez as acting president and the National Assembly extending her role beyond initial 90-day limits. This continuity, reinforced by military command loyalty and limited cabinet reshuffles favoring regime figures, underpins trader consensus favoring Maduro's formal status or Rodríguez's interim position by late 2026. Recent U.S. diplomatic reengagement, sanctions relief on oil exports, and private-sector openings have stabilized the arrangement without advancing scheduled elections or opposition inclusion. María Corina Machado remains sidelined in exile amid unresolved 2024 disputes, while secondary figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello retain influence in legislative and security roles that could shape any transition timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLãnh đạo Venezuela cuối năm 2026?
Lãnh đạo Venezuela cuối năm 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 63.7%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 8%
Jorge Rodríguez <1%
$88,129,002 KL.
$88,129,002 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
8%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia
1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 63.7%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 8%
Jorge Rodríguez <1%
$88,129,002 KL.
$88,129,002 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$1,705,734 KL.
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,597,331 KL.
21%
María Corina Machado
$1,055,770 KL.
8%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,002,523 KL.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,680,961 KL.
1%
Edmundo González
$821,467 KL.
1%
Donald Trump
$913,145 KL.
1%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia
$1,073,915 KL.
1%
Evan Pettus
$5,070,826 KL.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,339,239 KL.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$666,331 KL.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,564,054 KL.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$979,655 KL.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,600,642 KL.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,048,470 KL.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,009,085 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro from direct power has left Venezuela's Chavista institutions largely intact, with the Supreme Court appointing Delcy Rodríguez as acting president and the National Assembly extending her role beyond initial 90-day limits. This continuity, reinforced by military command loyalty and limited cabinet reshuffles favoring regime figures, underpins trader consensus favoring Maduro's formal status or Rodríguez's interim position by late 2026. Recent U.S. diplomatic reengagement, sanctions relief on oil exports, and private-sector openings have stabilized the arrangement without advancing scheduled elections or opposition inclusion. María Corina Machado remains sidelined in exile amid unresolved 2024 disputes, while secondary figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello retain influence in legislative and security roles that could shape any transition timeline.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$88,129,002Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro from direct power has left Venezuela's Chavista institutions largely intact, with the Supreme Court appointing Delcy Rodríguez as acting president and the National Assembly extending her role beyond initial 90-day limits. This continuity, reinforced by military command loyalty and limited cabinet reshuffles favoring regime figures, underpins trader consensus favoring Maduro's formal status or Rodríguez's interim position by late 2026. Recent U.S. diplomatic reengagement, sanctions relief on oil exports, and private-sector openings have stabilized the arrangement without advancing scheduled elections or opposition inclusion. María Corina Machado remains sidelined in exile amid unresolved 2024 disputes, while secondary figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello retain influence in legislative and security roles that could shape any transition timeline.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Khối lượng
$88,129,002Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The January 2026 U.S. military operation that removed Nicolás Maduro from direct power has left Venezuela's Chavista institutions largely intact, with the Supreme Court appointing Delcy Rodríguez as acting president and the National Assembly extending her role beyond initial 90-day limits. This continuity, reinforced by military command loyalty and limited cabinet reshuffles favoring regime figures, underpins trader consensus favoring Maduro's formal status or Rodríguez's interim position by late 2026. Recent U.S. diplomatic reengagement, sanctions relief on oil exports, and private-sector openings have stabilized the arrangement without advancing scheduled elections or opposition inclusion. María Corina Machado remains sidelined in exile amid unresolved 2024 disputes, while secondary figures such as Jorge Rodríguez and Diosdado Cabello retain influence in legislative and security roles that could shape any transition timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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