Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent removal shifted formal power to acting President Delcy Rodríguez, yet trader consensus prices him at 83% for end-2026 leadership amid slow institutional change. Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration, has consolidated authority through cabinet reshuffles, purges of Maduro loyalists, and cooperation on oil revenue controls and security, while her brother Jorge Rodríguez leads National Assembly talks. U.S.-facilitated negotiations with a Dinorah Figuera-led opposition delegation resumed in September 2026 on judicial reform and electoral guarantees, but progress remains limited after June earthquakes delayed timelines and key figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González stay sidelined in exile. These factors reinforce expectations of continuity under the existing PSUV framework rather than rapid transition by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLãnh đạo Venezuela cuối năm 2026?
Lãnh đạo Venezuela cuối năm 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 83.0%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia 1.2%
María Corina Machado 1.0%
$96,089,988 KL.
$96,089,988 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
83%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia
1%
María Corina Machado
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 83.0%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia 1.2%
María Corina Machado 1.0%
$96,089,988 KL.
$96,089,988 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,860,561 KL.
83%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,791,948 KL.
10%
Không có nguyên thủ quốc gia
$1,516,851 KL.
1%
María Corina Machado
$1,462,062 KL.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,230,998 KL.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,091,552 KL.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$820,924 KL.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,167,921 KL.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,991,312 KL.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,139,915 KL.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,418,060 KL.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,194,558 KL.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,651,660 KL.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,816,555 KL.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,144,389 KL.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,790,723 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent removal shifted formal power to acting President Delcy Rodríguez, yet trader consensus prices him at 83% for end-2026 leadership amid slow institutional change. Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration, has consolidated authority through cabinet reshuffles, purges of Maduro loyalists, and cooperation on oil revenue controls and security, while her brother Jorge Rodríguez leads National Assembly talks. U.S.-facilitated negotiations with a Dinorah Figuera-led opposition delegation resumed in September 2026 on judicial reform and electoral guarantees, but progress remains limited after June earthquakes delayed timelines and key figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González stay sidelined in exile. These factors reinforce expectations of continuity under the existing PSUV framework rather than rapid transition by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$96,089,988Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent removal shifted formal power to acting President Delcy Rodríguez, yet trader consensus prices him at 83% for end-2026 leadership amid slow institutional change. Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration, has consolidated authority through cabinet reshuffles, purges of Maduro loyalists, and cooperation on oil revenue controls and security, while her brother Jorge Rodríguez leads National Assembly talks. U.S.-facilitated negotiations with a Dinorah Figuera-led opposition delegation resumed in September 2026 on judicial reform and electoral guarantees, but progress remains limited after June earthquakes delayed timelines and key figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González stay sidelined in exile. These factors reinforce expectations of continuity under the existing PSUV framework rather than rapid transition by year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Khối lượng
$96,089,988Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro’s capture by U.S. forces in January 2026 and subsequent removal shifted formal power to acting President Delcy Rodríguez, yet trader consensus prices him at 83% for end-2026 leadership amid slow institutional change. Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration, has consolidated authority through cabinet reshuffles, purges of Maduro loyalists, and cooperation on oil revenue controls and security, while her brother Jorge Rodríguez leads National Assembly talks. U.S.-facilitated negotiations with a Dinorah Figuera-led opposition delegation resumed in September 2026 on judicial reform and electoral guarantees, but progress remains limited after June earthquakes delayed timelines and key figures including María Corina Machado and Edmundo González stay sidelined in exile. These factors reinforce expectations of continuity under the existing PSUV framework rather than rapid transition by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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